The Football Over-Unders for 2015: Pitt

This article is another in a series of articles in which the Confidential opines regarding the over/under for football wins in 2015.  We’ll take a cursory look at the schedule and determine what we think is the point where folks will struggle to select “over” or “under.”  We hope people will share their comments as to “why” they are going over/under.  If you disagree with our over/under choice, of course, feel free to let us know too.  The next team up: Pitt.  We are going with an over/under of 6.5 regular season wins.

  1. September 5 vs. Youngstown St
  2. September 12 @ Akron
  3. September 19 @ Iowa
  4. October 3 @ Virginia Tech
  5. October 10 vs Virginia
  6. October 17 @ Georgia Tech
  7. October 24 @ Syracuse
  8. October 29 vs. North Carolina
  9. November 7 vs. Notre Dame
  10. November 14 @ Duke
  11. November 21 vs. Louisville
  12. November 28 vs Miami

Likely wins: Youngstown St. and Akron

Likely losses: @ Iowa and Notre Dame

Summary: Pitt is really tough to figure out.  They have been upset by FCS teams in the past, making Youngstown State and Akron (road game) less than certain.  Meanwhile, the remain games are pretty much all contests where there would be no surprising result.  Would you be shocked if Pitt beat Iowa and Notre Dame, but lost to Syracuse and Virginia?  Nope.  Would any combination of wins/losses be a true surprise?  No.  So we say Pitt goes 2-0 to open the season and then it is a crapshoot as to whether and to what extent Pitt gets more or less than 6.5 wins.  The Confidential goes with an over-under of 6.5 wins.

What do you think?  Over or under?  Let us know.

Prior discussions: Florida State Georgia Tech Wake Forest

 

The Football Over-Unders for 2015: Wake Forest

This article is another in a series of articles in which the Confidential opines regarding the over/under for football wins in 2015.  We’ll take a cursory look at the schedule and determine what we think is the point where folks will struggle to select “over” or “under.”  We hope people will share their comments as to “why” they are going over/under.  If you disagree with our over/under choice, of course, feel free to let us know too.  The next team up: Wake Forest.  We are going with an over/under of 3.5 regular season wins.

  1. September 3 vs. Elon
  2. September 12 @ Syracuse
  3. September 19 @Army
  4. September 26 vs. Indiana
  5. October 3 vs. Florida State
  6. October 10 @ Boston College
  7. October 17 @ North Carolina
  8. October 24 vs. North Carolina State
  9. October 30 vs. Louisville
  10. November 14 @ Notre Dame
  11. November 21 @ Clemson
  12. November 28 vs. Duke

Likely wins: Elon, Army, Indiana

Likely losses: @ Notre Dame, @ Clemson, Florida State, Louisville

Summary: Wake Forest walks into the season with two or three likely wins and at least four likely losses.  That leaves five toss-up games: @ Syracuse, @ Boston College, @ North Carolina, vs. North Carolina State, and vs. Duke.  Would it shock you to see Wake Forest lose all of those games?  Not really.  The Demon Deacons have a ways to go.  It is nice that they get to play all of the North Carolina schools this year though.  The Confidential goes with an over-under of 3.5 wins.

What do you think?  Over or under?  Let us know.

Prior discussions: Florida State & Georgia Tech

 

The Football Over-Unders for 2015: Georgia Tech

This article is another in a series of articles in which the Confidential opines regarding the over/under for football wins in 2015.  We’ll take a cursory look at the schedule and determine what we think is the point where folks will struggle to select “over” or “under.”  We hope people will share their comments as to “why” they are going over/under.  If you disagree with our over/under choice, of course, feel free to let us know too.  The next team up: Georgia Tech.  We are going with an over/under of 8.5 regular season wins.

  1. September 3 vs. Alcorn State
  2. September 12 vs Tulane
  3. September 19 @ Notre Dame
  4. September 26 @ Duke
  5. October 3 vs. North Carolina
  6. October 10 @ Clemson
  7. October 17 vs. Pitt
  8. October 24 vs. Florida State
  9. October 31 @ Virginia
  10. November 12 vs. Virginia Tech
  11. November 21 @Miami
  12. November 28 vs. Georgia

Likely wins: Alcorn State, Tulane, North Carolina

Likely losses: @ Notre Dame, @ Clemson, Florida State

Summary: Georgia Tech has a very tough schedule.  After Alcorn State and Tulane, where is the next “easy” win?  Virginia?  That is away.  By default, it could be the home game against North Carolina.  The other 8 games?  How about a road slate of Notre Dame, Duke, Clemson, and Miami… got to be tow losses there.  And what about the final four home games?  Pitt, Florida State, Virginia Tech, and Georgia.  Are two more losses that improbable.  We see the Yellow Jackets falling all the way down to an over/under of 8.5 regular season wins.

What do you think?  Over or under?  Let us know.

Prior discussions: Florida State.

The Football Over-Unders for 2015: Florida State

This article is the first in a series of articles in which the Confidential opines regarding the over/under for football wins in 2015.  We’ll take a cursory look at the schedule and determine what we think is the point where folks will struggle to select “over” or “under.”  We hope people will share their comments as to “why” they are going over/under.  If you disagree with our over/under choice, of course, feel free to let us know too.  The first team up: Florida State.  We are going with an over/under of 10.5 regular season wins.

  1. September 5 vs. Texas State
  2. September 12 vs. South Florida
  3. September 18 @ Boston College
  4. October 3 @ Wake Forest
  5. October 10 vs. Miami
  6. October 17 vs. Louisville
  7. October 24 @ Georgia Tech
  8. October 31 vs. Syracuse
  9. November 7 @ Clemson
  10. November 14 vs. NC State
  11. November 21 vs. Chattanooga
  12. November 28 @ Florida

Summary: Florida State is hard this year.  This team could go 12-0 and nobody would be shocked. However, after losing Winston and a second-straight set of studs to the NFL, the Seminoles are bound to take a step back.  Whether that is a step back to 11 wins or 8 wins is anybody’s guess.  Look, Wake Forest upset them a few years back.  Boston College has played them tough recently.  Syracuse and North Carolina State hung on for way too long last year.  With road games at Clemson, Georgia Tech, and Florida–as well as tough home games against Miami and Louisville, the Confidential sees one or two losses.  And if that is a rebuilding year, then Jimbo Fisher is doing a great job in Tallahassee.  The Confidential goes with an over/under of 10.5 for the Seminoles.

What do you think?  Over or under?  Let us know.

 

The Over/Under Recap of 2014

As we set forth to do our over-unders for 2015, here is a look at last year’s over/unders:

As you can see, we were within 1/2 a game of the following six schools: Florida State (12 regular season wins vs. over/under of 11.5); Virginia (5 wins vs 4.5); Clemson (9 wins vs. 9.5); North Carolina (6 wins vs. 6.5); Louisville (9 wins vs. 8.5); Duke (9 wins vs. 8.5);

We were slightly off on these five schools: North Carolina State (7 wins vs. 5.5); Miami (6 wins vs. 7.5); Wake Forest (3 wins vs. 4.5); Boston College (7 wins vs. 5.5); Notre Dame (7 wins vs 8.5);

We were way off on on these four schools: Georgia Tech (10 wins vs. 7.5); Virginia Tech (6 wins vs 8.5); Pitt (6 wins vs 8.5); Syracuse 3 wins vs 7.5).

What’s the over/under on how many schools we can come within 1/2 a win of this year?  Ha ha ha.  Just kidding.  Stay tuned for our 2015 over/unders…coming soon!

 

 

Updated with Poll: The College Basketball Active Coaching Mount Rushmore

Update: As you may recall, we are trying to decide the active coaching Mount Rushmore (see below or click here).  So far, we have selected Coach K, Tom Izzo, and Rick Pitino.  We need help deciding the fourth member of the group.  We have had good arguments for Jim Boeheim, John Calipari, Billy Donovan, and Roy Williams.  We will decide via the following poll.  As they say in Chicago, vote early and often… ha ha ha.  Thanks in advance.

Thanks again!

Original article:

In the past, the Confidential had some fun with Mount Rushmores for each ACC school.  We picked three spots and let fans pick the 4th spot.  Today, the focus is on college basketball as a whole–specifically, the active coaches.  It should be pretty easy to guess a few of the names, but rounding out the 4th (and eliminating the others in the process) may be difficult.  In any event, here is the list… you can vote on who gets #4.

The first spot… Coach K.

There is no need to reinvent the wheel here.  This is how we described him over a year ago:

If it needs to be explained, you haven’t been following sports since Jimmy Carter was running the country.  You want longevity?  30+ years at Duke.  You want success?  The most wins of any mens’ basketball coach ever.  You want national titles?  How about four of them for Duke in his tenure.  Throw in some gold medals and the absence of serious controversy, and you’ve got yourself one of the easiest Mount Rushmore spots ever.

This applies to active basketball coaching as well.  More recently, he is now over 1,000 wins and is back in the running for another national title.

The second spot… Tom Izzo. 

Sure, this is a bit knee-jerk.  But Izzo just took a 7-seed to the Final Four.  “Only” one national championship, but how about seven Final Fours in 20 years of coaching.  And 9 Elite Eights and 13 Sweet Sixteens.  Other than Coach K, who else has that kind of resume?

Well, maybe the next guy.  The third spot… Rick Pitino.

Pitino has two championships, one with Kentucky and one with Louisville.  Pitino also has seven Final Fours, including one with Providence.  Like Izzo, there is a sense (well-founded) that Louisville will be a better team in March than December.

The fourth spot?  The Confidential will leave this to you.  Here are some names to consider voting for the 4th spot:

  • Jim Boeheim
  • Roy Williams
  • John Calipari
  • Billy Donovan
  • Bill Self
  • Thad Matta
  • Bob Huggins
  • Anyone else?

Anyway, let us know who deserves the 4th spot and why…

 

The Over/Under Recap of 2014

As we set forth to do our over-unders for 2015, here is a look at last year’s over/unders:

As you can see, we were within 1/2 a game of the following six schools: Florida State (12 regular season wins vs. over/under of 11.5); Virginia (5 wins vs 4.5); Clemson (9 wins vs. 9.5); North Carolina (6 wins vs. 6.5); Louisville (9 wins vs. 8.5); Duke (9 wins vs. 8.5);

We were slightly off on these five schools: North Carolina State (7 wins vs. 5.5); Miami (6 wins vs. 7.5); Wake Forest (3 wins vs. 4.5); Boston College (7 wins vs. 5.5); Notre Dame (7 wins vs 8.5);

We were way off on on these four schools: Georgia Tech (10 wins vs. 7.5); Virginia Tech (6 wins vs 8.5); Pitt (6 wins vs 8.5); Syracuse 3 wins vs 7.5).

What’s the over/under on how many schools we can come within 1/2 a win of this year?  Ha ha ha.  Just kidding.  Stay tuned for our 2015 over/unders…coming soon!