ACC Bowl Projections

With the exception of two schools, ACC play is behind us. But that’s not a bad thing because nine of the teams (and Notre Dame) will be playing in a bowl game. So with that, let’s talk some bowl projections.

CFB Playoff – Clemson vs Iowa

The only team with a shot at the playoffs needs a win in the championship game to keep their spot. They struggled against their rival, South Carolina, but that won’t keep them out of the playoffs as long as they’re undefeated. They’ll likely be the 1 seed, so they’ll get whoever the playoff committee deems least deserving. For now, let’s say Iowa assuming they win a close one against Ohio State.

Peach Bowl – UNC vs Notre Dame

The loser of the ACC championship presumably gets this spot, but not always. Florida State could jump to this spot, but the recent polls show UNC over FSU, so that’s not likely. On the other side, the Peach bowl opponent could come from a number of conferences, but Notre Dame also has a tie-in. I’m sure the committee would love to have Notre Dame face off against another solid ACC team for the storyline itself.

Russel Athletic – Florida State vs TCU

This is too easy. A Florida team playing in Florida; they’re literally the only choice if they fall this far. A New Year’s Six selection isn’t out of the question, but you have to think the folks in Orlando would love to have FSU in this one. They get the third or fourth pick from the Big 12, so TCU seems like the logical choice here with Oklahoma, Oklahoma State, and maybe Baylor being ahead of them.

Music City – Louisville vs Georgia

The Cardinals are a natural fit for this bowl. They make sense geographically, and they’re in an SEC state so they fit in well with the bowl tie-in. They could face any number of SEC teams, but let’s pencil in Georgia for the sake of geography.

Belk – Virginia Tech vs Texas A&M

Many sources indicate that the folks in Charlotte want Virginia Tech really bad. It’ll be Beamer’s last game, and they know that means big revenue. Blacksburg isn’t too far away and Hokie fans will travel. This is another SEC tie-in that could go to any number of teams. If Georgia is in Nashville, I think Texas A&M makes sense here being another fanbase that would travel and be nationally recognized.

Sun – Miami vs Washington State

This tends to be the game no one wants, since it’s so outside of the ACC’s geographical footprint. The conference usually sends a nationally recognized program so that they can attract an audience even when their fanbase can’t make the trip. Miami fits the bill with the added bonus that they may already have a new coach. On the other side, the PAC-12 usually does the same in terms of selections, but I think Washington State is the pick here mostly because they’ll be the last 8-4 team chosen, and other teams like Arizona State can’t jump them.

Pinstripe – Pittsburgh vs Indiana

As much as the committee would love a Pitt/Penn State game, the Big 10 simply doesn’t have enough bowl eligible teams to make that happen. Pittsburgh is the the northern most ACC team that’s bowl eligible, so they’ll be the logical choice (unless Duke’s New York fanbase is taken into account). With an almost guaranteed playoff team along with possibly 1 or 2 New Year’s Six selections, the Big 10 certainly won’t be able to fill all their affiliations. Penn State will likely be pulled up to the Tier 1 bowls, leaving only Indiana in the tier 2 meaning they could go to any of those bowls. It’s entirely possible Pitt ends up playing a team from some other conference.

Military – NC State vs Navy

If Virginia Tech isn’t picked up by the Belk bowl, they obviously go here. With the assumption of them in Charlotte, NC State would be an easy pick for the Military. Raleigh isn’t too far from DC, and the fanbase travels well as a whole. Navy is all but guaranteed for this bowl unless a they get taken as a at-large by a bigger bowl. This would literally be a home game for Navy which would mean an almost sell-out crowd.

Independence/Quick Lane – Duke

Tack on the ACC to the list of conferences not able to fill all their bowl slots. The third tier of bowls includes these two, but there’s just one team left. If Notre Dame isn’t in a New Year’s Six, you could drop one of the second tier teams, but it’s tough to see them not in a NY 6 bowl. Duke is the last team left, and will probably fall to one of these last two because of how they finished.

Where will your team be playing in the post season? Post your projections below

ACC Fantasy Football: Week 13 Recap & FINAL!

Thanks to all those who continue to participate in our weekly fantasy football league!  It was a free game.  The rules were here.   It is now over.

These are the results from Week 13–individual team results are located here in the comments section.  In any event, here is the week 13 recap:

As always, this is done by hand so the potential for error is there.  It is final in 48 hours.


With 9 entries, 4 teams get wins (bold), 4 teams get losses, and 1 team gets a tie (italic):

Josh V = 153.4 pts

Commander = 148.5 pts

MSU = 146.5 pts

Brian = 141.5 pts

HHuntley = 133.5 pts

Lenville = 129.3 points

Chrislords = 126.5 pts

ACwolfpacker = 107.5 pts

LD = 87.6 pts



  1. Commander 9-4; MSU Bulldog 9-4 (18pts)
  2. Accwolfpacker  7-4-2 (16 pts)
  3. LenvilleCards 6-4-2 (14 pts)
  4. LD 6-7  (12 pts)
  5. Brian 5-6-2 (12 pts)
  6. HHuntley17   4-7-2 (10 pts)
  7. Josh V  3-6-4 (10 pts)
  8. Chrislords  4-9 (8 pts)

Thus, we have a two-way tie between myself (Commander) and MSU Bulldog.  As a reminder, here are the tiebreakers:

The team with the best record after the week of November 28th is the winner.  If there are ties, they will be resolved by which team had the most wins.  Next, the team with the better record head-to-head all season.  If there is still a tie, most points on the season.  Beyond that, the prize is just split.  The Confidential does not flip coins or penalty kicks or any other lame tiebreakers.

The first tiebreaker–most wins… remains a tie.

The second tiebreaker–head-to-head record… is as follows:

  • Week 13: Commander wins
  • Week 12: MSU wins
  • Week 11: MSU wins
  • Week 10: MSU wins
  • Week 9: MSU wins
  • Week 8: MSU wins
  • Week 7: Commander wins
  • Week 6: Commander wins
  • Week 5: MSU wins
  • Week 4: Commander wins
  • Week 3: MSU wins
  • Week 2: Commander wins
  • Week 1: Commander wins

Thus, MSU has 7 weekly wins over Commander and wins the second tiebreaker!  Congrats to MSU Bulldogs!  Contact the Confidential on Twitter (acconfi) or via email @ to claim your prize via PayPal!

GREAT JOB BY EVERYONE!   Hope to see you all in 2016!

Happy Thanksgiving ACC-Style!

Once again, it is Thanksgiving… so Happy Thanksgiving ACC-fans!  May you all have a safe and enjoyable holiday weekend!  In honor of same, we are going to take a moment to guess what each ACC school is particularly thankful for on this 2015 edition of the Thanksgiving Holiday.  Please feel free to share your opinions on Twitter or by commenting below:

BOSTON COLLEGE: Thankful to have the Northeast market cornered, blocking a school like UConn–who has much more basketball success and even a BCS-bowl appearance.

CLEMSON: Dabo Swinney.  The guy has been a great coach, but primarily because he also changed the culture.  Nobody sincerely speaks of Clemsoning anymore.  You can credit Swinney for that.  And the Tigers sit very well heading into its rivalry game with South Carolina.

DUKE: Coach K.  Could there be any other answer?  For the past 30 or so years, Coach K has kept Duke front and center in basketball.  There are only so many coaching icons in the world… and Coach K is clearly one o them.  While someone off the Coach K coaching tree will likely do well, it will certainly not be AS good.  Be thankful.

FLORIDA STATE: Jameis Winston.  Jimbo Fisher is one o the best coaches in football and, by all accounts, a good man.  He led Florida State back to a championship, as well as a playoff appearance last year.  However, as you can see this year, a football team is only as good as its QB play.  Without Winston, Florida State has fallen back to the pack.  The whole roster shares credit for the Championship, and Fisher certainly does, but do not discount the impact that Winston had on that season.

GEORGIA TECH: This is a tough one, as the Yellow Jackets revenue teams are having a tough year (football) and tough stretch (basketball) recently.  Need some help!!!

LOUISVILLE: One word: Jurich.  This man oversaw the Cardinals rise to being an ACC member and huge contributor.  With top notch basketball and football, as well as the ability to bring in coaches, Louisville has a better athletic department overall than its in-state rival Kentucky.

MIAMI: Location, location, location.  While the job that Jim Larranaga is doing is second fiddle to the football team’s ups and downs among alumni, the fact that Miami sits within one of the best recruiting spots in the country will ensure that coaches will want to flock there.  Fans are nice, but talent wins games.  Miami needs a coach who will take advantage of the location.

NORTH CAROLINA: The mercy of the NCAA.  What Fedora is doing is amazing.  What Roy Williams has going on in hoops is impressive.  But North Carolina needs to be thankful for an NCAA that probably does not want to drop the hammer on the Tar Heels for its academic fraud issues.  Maybe it is not mercy, but something more.  But whatever it is, if the NCAA could do what it did to Penn State (rules be damned), it could do the same to North Carolina.

NORTH CAROLINA STATE: Like Georgia Tech, North Carolina State has been good, but not great.  There is not an iconic coach to point to right now.  But North Carolina State certainly does not embarrass itself.  So let’s give the nod to the athletic department, who ensures that NC State gets 4 wins every year before hitting conference play.  Too many other schools set their football team up for failure worrying about schedule strength.  Save that concern for the big boys.

NOTRE DAME: Brian Kelly.  But for history, Notre Dame would be just another program.  There are much better football programs right now.  But Notre Dame’s history still means something.  Still, Brian Kelly has Notre Dame swaggering right now in a way that his recent predecessors have not been able to.  The best recruiting classes are meaningless if you do not know how to use them.  Kelly knows how to coach.  And the Fighting Irish are in the playoff discussion because of it.

PITTSBURGH: Pat Narduzzi. The Panthers have had decent recruiting for several years now.  Only Narduzzi has taken Pittsburgh above the Birmingham Bowl-esque heights.  And in his first season.  And without all-ACC RB James Conner.  For all the talk of risky coaching changes and injuries, do not ignore what Narduzzi has done.

SYRACUSE: James Arthur Boeheim.   While Don McPherson, Marvin Graves, and Donovan McNabb have given Syracuse fans much to cheer about football-wise during his tenure, and the Carrier Dome has been a source of pride for the school and locals, it is Boeheim that gives people outside of Syracuse a reason to talk about Syracuse.  With a national championship, a few more final fours, and a long string of good-to-great seasons, things are always interesting when it comes to Syracuse hoops.  Be thankful.

VIRGINIA: Thomas Jefferson.  Why not?  Ok, let’s go with Bennett.  He has the hoops team playing very well… #1 seed well lately.  It is hard to be great in football and basketball, so enjoy success wherever it comes.

VIRGINIA TECH: Frank Beamer.  This man has run a good football team in the right way for a long, successful time.  The Hokies will make a good hire.  That man will have HUGE shoes to fill.  And history says that most of the time, such shoes do not end up being filled.

WAKE FOREST:  The ACC.  If Wake Forest was not in the ACC right now, it would be well on the outside of the P5 conferences. And if things ever shake up, Wake Forest will certainly be low on the desire list for conferences.  Be thankful for the ACC, Demon Deacons.



ACC Expansion Options

With 14 teams, there is still room to add 2 teams… the right “2 teams” into the Atlantic Coast Conference.  This, of course, does not mean that expansion will be happening, much less any time soon.  This post will merely explore the teams that are out there and inquire, of you, what you would prefer to see.

The elephant in the room is Notre Dame.  The Fighting Irish do not want to join a conference.  We discussed yesterday that adding Navy/Notre Dame might be more palatable, as it would convert an OOC opponent into a conference opponent.  But the reality is that Notre Dame simply does not want to join a conference until it absolutely has to.  And many fans do not even deem being excluded from the playoffs such a circumstance.

Navy.  While Navy has a good location, it is not a needle-mover revenue-wise outside of luring Notre Dame. Therefore, adding Navy only happens if Notre Dame comes with them.  And who is to say that Navy even WANTS to be in a P5 conference?

West Virginia.  The Mountaineers are sitting happily in the Big XII.  That being said, adding West Virginia to the ACC would restore several rivalries, as well as some geographic common sense.  The Big XII has a grant-of-rights, so this is not likely to happen anytime soon.

UConn.  The Huskies are a basketball near-elite, even without Jim Calhoun and notwithstanding some tough years.  They are eager to join.  The problem is that they add little or nothing in football–the true revenue sport.  They also add little or nothing on the TV revenue side of things, as Boston College/Syracuse cover the Northeast areas already.  Unlike the above, they are certainly eager to join.

Cincinnati.  Like UConn, Cincinnati is eager to join.  The football has had more historical success and opens up a new market–even if a hugely distant second to Ohio State.  Ohio is also a fertile recruiting ground.  The hoops are not horrible.  They have an NFL stadium nearby to use for the big games.  Don’t rule it out.

Temple.  With historically good hoops, and historically poor football, this seems unlikely.  However, Philadelphia is a potential market to tap–even if Penn State and Pittsburgh generally dominate the state.  Like Cincinnati, Temple would have access to an NFL stadium for big games.  While the football team is perhaps most notable for being in the movie Unbreakable, they have had success with Golden and Ruhle.  Never say never.

Texas.  Ha ha ha.  Just kidding.  Although one might be able to convince Texas to accept a Notre Dame-esque 5-game schedule, it is difficult to envision Texas abandoning Texas Tech for such a membership.  Unless the Big XII is going to die, which is unlikely at this point, Texas need not make a move.

East Carolina.  The fifth North Carolina school finds itself in a similar boat as South Florida and Central Florida.  Just not enough “market” addition to justify adding in a good football school regardless of on-field performance.

Memphis.  The work done by the football team recently is notable, but the hoops has declined to offset any such gains.  There is just not enough here to justify an addition.

And then, of course, there is the “do nothing” option.  Why add any school and water down what is already there?  If ND or Texas are available as permanent members…listen.  But otherwise there is no need to make ANY move.

So here are the options… what do you think?

Imagine the ACC with Notre Dame and Navy

Once upon a time, the Confidential tossed around the idea of Navy as a suitable replacement for Maryland location-wise and as a partner with Notre Dame as the 15th and 16th teams.  Obviously, Notre Dame is not ready for a conference, but they might start inching closer if they are 11-1 and outside the playoffs.  The loss of a 13th game hurt the Big XII last year and could hurt Notre Dame this year–even with a win over Stanford.  While everyone thinks UConn as team #16, and the Confidential has always thought West Virginia made even better sense than UConn, Navy has its merits too.

Continue reading

Confidential Fantasy Football Game: Week 13 Entry Page

There is a three-way tie for first place heading into this week!  As those who entered know, the game is free and simple… just pick your team.  See rules.  Here is the recap of Week 12 the standings.  To enter, just comment with your entry for Week 13.


ENTRY DEADLINE 11:59 A.M. on FRIDAY NOV 27, 2015!

Good luck to all!

ACC Fantasy Football: Week 12 Recap!

Thanks to all those who continue to participate in our weekly fantasy football league!  It is a free game.  There is a prize on a season-long basis.  The rules are here.   Feel free to enter the season-long game.  These are the results from Week 12–individual team results are located here in the comments section.  In any event, here is the week 12 recap:

As always, this is done by hand so the potential for error is there.  It is final in 48 hours.


With 9 entries, 4 teams get wins (bold), 4 teams get losses, and 1 team gets a tie (italic):

MSU = 131.5 pts

Brian = 129.5 pts

Chrislords = 126.5 pts

Commander = 122.5 pts

ACwolfpacker = 114.4 pts

LD = 102.0 pts

Josh V = 101.3 pts

HHuntley = 90.9 pts

Lenville = 80.6 points



  1. Commander 8-4; MSU Bulldog 8-4 (16 pts)
  2. Accwolfpacker  7-3-2 (16 pts)
  3. LenvilleCards 6-4-2 (14 pts)
  4. LD 6-6  (12 pts)
  5. Brian 4-6-2 (10 pts)
  6. HHuntley17   4-7-1 (9 pts)
  7. Chrislords  4-8 (8 pts)
  8. Josh V  2-6-4 (8 pts)

Wow… three way tie for first place right now!   And Commander/MSU edged ahead of ACCWolfpacker… the first time in a long time that there is a new #1.  As a reminder, here are the tiebreakers:

The team with the best record after the week of November 28th is the winner.  If there are ties, they will be resolved by which team had the most wins.  Next, the team with the better record head-to-head all season.  If there is still a tie, most points on the season.  Beyond that, the prize is just split.  The Confidential does not flip coins or penalty kicks or any other lame tiebreakers.

GREAT JOB BY EVERYONE!   On to Week 13….