The Football Over-Unders for 2015: Miami

This article is another in a series of articles in which the Confidential opines regarding the over/under for football wins in 2015.  We’ll take a cursory look at the schedule and determine what we think is the point where folks will struggle to select “over” or “under.”  We hope people will share their comments as to “why” they are going over/under.  If you disagree with our over/under choice, of course, feel free to let us know too.  The next team up: Miami.  We are going with an over/under of 6.5 regular season wins.

  1. September 5 vs Bethune-Cookman
  2. September 11 @ Florida Atlantic
  3. September 19 vs Nebraska
  4. October 1 @ Cincinnati
  5. October 10 @ Florida State
  6. October 17 vs. Virginia Tech
  7. October 24 vs. Clemson
  8. October 31 @ Duke
  9. November 7 vs Virginia
  10. November 14 @ North Carolina
  11. November 21 vs Georgia Tech
  12. November 28 @ Pittsburgh

Likely losses: Florida State, Nebraska or Clemson,

Likely wins: Bethune-Cookman, Florida Atlantic

Summary:  Louisville’s schedule is tough, but Miami’s might be tougher.  OOC road games against Florida Atlantic and Cincinnati, sandwiched around a home game against Nebraska.  Then, the first four conference games are @ FSU, Virginia Tech, Clemson, and @ Duke.  Only 6 home games overall.  This is a very tough schedule for Miami–even with the promising offense.  Assume a 2-0 start–do you see 5 wins the rest of the way?  UNC, Duke, and Pitt are winnable–but on the road.  The Confidential goes with an over-under of 6.5 wins.

What do you think?  Over or under?  Let us know.

Prior discussions: Florida State Georgia Tech Wake Forest Pitt Virginia Virginia Tech Louisville

ACC Baseball Tournament: Day 5

One of the downfalls of pool play is that it can often lead to pointless games later in the week. While Saturday’s early game was essentially a semi-final, the other two meant nothing. Still, teams can use these games to build momentum for the NCAA tournament.

Game 12: Florida State grabs their spot in the Championship

Louisville – 0

Florida State – 6

The two teams were in a 0-0 deadlock for most of the game. Florida State finally broke the tie in the top of the sixth inning when they scored three runs which would have been enough to beat the Cardinals.

But the Seminoles added two more runs in the seventh and another in the eighth to seal their victory. Both teams posted similar stats including 8 runners left on base. The only difference between the two was the way Florida State capitalized on their opportunities later in the game.

Game 13: A reversal of fates gives Miami a win over the Irish

Notre Dame – 5

Miami – 6

Not even 24 hours after a tough loss in extras to NC State, the Hurricanes took the field looking to regain some confidence for the NCAA tournament. Notre Dame scored the go-ahead run in the top of the ninth and hoped that was enough. Trailing by one, Christopher Barr wasted no time tying the game. He homered on just the 5th pitch of the inning.

Miami would go on to load the bases with one out and Brandon Lopez at the plate. Lopez singled to right-center field to drive in the winning run. This time, it was Miami walking off with the win.

Game 14: Even with some key players out, NC State cruises past UVA

NC State – 10

Virginia – 2

Coming off their big win the night before, NC State got a chance to rest some of their stars. Even with those guys out, the Wolfpack scored an even ten runs on the way past Virginia. The Cavaliers took an early 1-0 lead in the bottom of the first inning, but NC State quickly responded with two runs of their own to take the lead.

Virginia tied up the game in the sixth, but NC State responded with eight runs which all but ended the Cavs chances at picking up a win. The Wolfpack improve to a surprising 3-0 on the tournament, which no one expected. Equally surprising is Virginia’s 1-3 performance. After their 11-0 rout of Georgia Tech, they almost topped Miami early in the week. They just never found a way to finish off these close games.

ACC Baseball Tournament: Day 4

Another day of the ACC baseball tournament is in the books and it was a wild one. Notre Dame won their first tournament game, UNC improved their tournament resumé, and NC State punched their ticket to the championship game with an extra innings thriller.

Game 9: Irish notch their first tournament victory

Notre Dame – 8

Virginia – 2

Cavan Biggio made up for his quiet Thursday with a couple of RBI’s that played a big roll in his team’s 8 runs. That ended up being more than enough as Notre Dame cruised to pick up their first ACC baseball tournament win.

Virginia had a tough time doing anything on offense against Ryan Smoyer, who only gave up four hits through his six innings of work. They started out down early and never really had a chance to get back. UVA scored two runs in the third which cut the lead to just 1, but allowed the small innings to add up.

Notre Dame gets Miami at 3pm and Virginia faces NC State in the night game.

Game 10: UNC makes strong case for NCAA with win

Clemson – 3

North Carolina – 6

Though it was a meaningless game in terms of ACC tournament, both Clemson and UNC came into the tournament needing some resumé boosts to get in the NCAA tournament. Clemson might have got theirs yesterday with their win over Louisville. UNC on the other hand, only had a win over Virginia Tech in the play-in.

The Heels were able to run away the game early after taking a 5-0 lead after the fourth inning. Skye Bolt drove in four runs in part due to his 3-run home run. Though the score tells a different story, Carolina always seemed to have the game under control.

Both teams will have completed their games in the tournament and await their NCAA selections.

Game 11: NC State advances to the ACC Championship game with a wild win

Miami – 4

NC State – 5

As the 6 seed, even the most loyal NC State fans probably didn’t believe their team would be the first in Sunday’s title game. As a matter of fact, the Wolfpack didn’t lead in this game until Preston Palmeiro’s walk-off double.

After Andrew Knizner tied the game up in the ninth inning, Palmeiro stepped in as the first batter in the bottom of the twelfth.

He drove the second pitch of the inning off the blue monster in left. Carl Chester fielded it, but threw it past the second baseman. Palmeiro rounded third and looked to have been thrown out at the plate, but Zack Collins couldn’t handle the throw and the Wolfpack mobbed Palmeiro.

Miami finishes their tournament Saturday against Notre Dame. NC State plays a meaningless game against Virginia, and I wouldn’t expect to see too many regulars playing. They will play the winner of Saturday’s FSU/Louisville game on Sunday.

ACC Baseball Tournament: Day 2

After two crazy games on Tuesday, it looked like this was shaping up to be a very exciting tournament. Day 2, the first day of pool play, did not disappoint with several back-and-forth games.

Game 3: Florida State holds off Clemson’s late rally

Clemson – 1

Florida State – 3

In a slow game dominated by pitching, Florida State did just enough to pick up an early lead in the tournament. The game was scoreless until the Seminoles broke the game open with a three run inning. DJ Stewart came through with two outs with a triple off the wall. A single later drove in Stewart, and FSU took a comfortable 3-0 lead.

But that lead was anything but safe as Clemson had multiple chances to get back in the game. The Tigers left ten runners on base which ended up being the difference in the game. Clemson even loaded the bases at one point, but Dylan Sylva from FSU was able to force a double play to get out of the jam.

Both teams will be back in action tomorrow as Clemson will face top seeded Louisville at 3pm. Florida State plays the night game against UNC.

Game 4: Miami’s strong bats prove too much for the Cavaliers

Virginia – 5

Miami – 9

A quick run in the first inning gave Miami an early lead. They were able to keep that through the first five innings. Everything was going well until Kenny Towns sent a 3 run home run over the blue monster to give UVA a 3-2 lead. They might have added more if not for a spectacular diving catch by Ricky Eusebio.

The top of the eighth inning was more of the same as Virginia opened a 5-2 lead. Connor Jones pitched a stellar game for the Cavs, but his bullpen didn’t hold up. He left with a 5-2 lead after going seven and a third innings. But the Hurricane’s bats could not be kept quiet much longer. As soon as Jones left, they batted around to score seven runs and take a 9-5 lead and eventually win the game.

Both teams get the day off tomorrow, but on Friday,  UVA will play Notre Dame and Miami faces NC State.

Game 5: Louisville scores 7 unanswered, overtake Tar Heels

North Carolina – 4

Louisville – 7

A lead-off home run from Tyler Ramirez got the UNC offense rolling. They went on to load the bases in the first, the Heels couldn’t capitalize and ended the inning with just a 1-0 lead. They added a few more in the top of the third, and led 4-0.

Louisville chipped away at the lead with 2 runs in the fourth, 1 in the fifth, and finally broke it open with 4 runs in the sixth. Louisville’s bullpen continued to look strong as they didn’t give up any runs. Closer Zack Burdi threw a perfect ninth with two strikeouts.

Both teams are back in action tomorrow as Louisville faces Clemson and UNC plays the nightcap against Florida State

The Confidential’s All School Teams Poll: Ranking The Bottom

The Confidential has spent several weeks determining the best 12-player teams that could be put together for each ACC school.  Here is a list of those teams.  Today’s task, however, is to determine which school’s team is the worst.  Please remember to vote in our poll.  Tomorrow we will vote for the best from the top 7 rosters.

Boston College:

Center: Terry Driscoll, John Garris

Power Forward: Craig Smith, Jared Dudley

Small Forward: Danya Abrams, Bill Curley, Jay Murphy

Shooting Guard: John Bagley, John Austin,

Point Guard: Troy Bell, Michael Adams, Dana Barros


Center: Tree Rollins, Elden Campbell

Power Forward: Dale Davis, Horace Grant

Small Forward: Larry Nance, Trevor Booker

Shooting Guard: Butch Zatezalo, KC Rivers, Terrell McIntyre

Point Guard: Willie Solomon, Chris Whitney, Demontez Stitt

Florida State:

Center: Dave Cowens, Solomon Alabi

Power Forward: Chris Singleton, Harry Davis, Al Thornton

Small Forward: Georgie McCloud, Ron Fedor

Shooting Guard: Bob Sura, Ron Harris, Ron King

Point Guard: Sam Cassell, Charlie Ward


Center: Tito Horford, Constantin Popa

Power Forward: Eric Brown, Willie Allen

Small Forward: Rick Barry, John Salmons, Tim James

Shooting Guard: James Jones, Don Curnutt

Point Guard: Shane Larkin, Jack McClinton, Dick Hickox


Center: Charles Smith, Chris Tagt

Power Forward: Jerome Lane, Dejuan Blair

Small Forward: Sam Young, Billy Knight, Chevon Troutman

Shooting Guard: Ashton Gibbs, Sean Miller (yeah, more of a point guard)

Point Guard:Brandin Knight, Carl Krauser, Levance  Fields


Center: Ralph Sampson, Olden Polynice

Power Forward: Wally Walker, Marc Iavaroni, Mike Scott

Small Forward: Jeff Lamp, Joe Harris

Shooting Guard:  Bryant Stith, Buzzy Wilkinson, Curtis Staples

Point Guard: Othell Wilson, Barry Parkhill

Virginia Tech:

Center: Jimmy Carruth, Chris Smith

Power Forward: Howard Pardue, Allan Bristow

Small Forward: Bryant Matthews, Deron Washington

Shooting Guard: Dell Curry, Bimbo Coles, Bucky Keller

Point Guard: Erick Green, Malcolm Delaney, Zabian Dowdell

Wake Forest:

Center: Tim Duncan, Loren Woods

Power Forward:  Len Chappell, Dick Hemric

Small Forward: Josh Howard, Rodney Rogers, Charlie Davis

Shooting Guard: Randolph Childress, Rod Griffin

Point Guard: Chris Paul, Muggsy Bogues, Jeff Teague


The Confidential’s All-Time Miami Team

Suppose you had to play one game… for all the marbles… and you could use your time machine (or TARDIS) to put together a team of 12 players at their peaks.  Who would you pick?  Well, the Confidential does not know who YOU would pick.  But here is who the Confidential would pick for Miami:

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Confidential Bubble Watch: March 2, 2015

Can you believe it?  Two weeks from today, we will be doing our brackets.  The question, of course, is how many ACC teams will be on those particular brackets.

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