Big XII Expansion Update

A few weeks ago, we had some discussion regarding relegation and how the NCAA might look with relegation.   And then we discussed the purely hypothetical–even absurdly hypothetical–circumstance of which school is each conference’s weakest link.  Then we took the absurd one step further and talked about conferences swapping schools.  We thought we were done.  Little did we know that the Big XII would jump back into the discussion… with Oklahoma seemingly parading itself to other conferences and news that five Big XII schools may have raised their skirts for the Big 10 to look at several years ago.  All in all, the Big XII seems particularly unstable.  What does that mean?

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The Football Over-Unders for 2015: Duke

This article is another in a series of articles in which the Confidential opines regarding the over/under for football wins in 2015.  We’ll take a cursory look at the schedule and determine what we think is the point where folks will struggle to select “over” or “under.”  We hope people will share their comments as to “why” they are going over/under.  If you disagree with our over/under choice, of course, feel free to let us know too.  The next team up: Duke.  We are going with an over/under of 7.5 regular season wins.

  1. September 3 @ Tulane
  2. September 12 vs North Carolina Central
  3. September 19 vs Northwestern
  4. September 26 vs Georgia Tech
  5. October 3 vs Boston College
  6. October 10 @ Army
  7. October 24 @ Virginia Tech
  8. October 31  vs Miami
  9. November 7 @ North Carolina
  10. November 14 vs Pittsburgh
  11. November 21 @ Virginia
  12. November 28 @ Wake Forest

Likely losses: Who knows?  Have to be some in here, right?

Likely wins: Tulane, NC Central, Army

Summary:  Duke rivals North Carolina State for schedule ease, but similarly goes on the road for two of its foes–Tulane and Army.  This, of course, is sandwiched around four home games.  The Confidential has no idea how Duke will do this year.  None.  Home losses to Northwestern, Georgia Tech, Miami, and Pitt could happen… or not.  Road losses to Virginia Tech, North Carolina, and Virginia could happen.  Or not.  Heck, even Wake Forest could beat Duke–especially with Wake hosting the game.  Or not.  Kind of absurd that Duke avoids all of Florida State, Clemson, and Louisville in crossover games.  Seriously, anything could happen here.  0-12.  12-0.  Ultimately, however, the Confidential goes with a a default over-under of 7.5 wins.

What do you think?  Over or under?  Let us know.

Prior discussions: Florida State Georgia Tech Wake Forest Pitt Virginia Virginia Tech Louisville Miami Notre Dame NC State

The Football Over-Unders for 2015: NC State

This article is another in a series of articles in which the Confidential opines regarding the over/under for football wins in 2015.  We’ll take a cursory look at the schedule and determine what we think is the point where folks will struggle to select “over” or “under.”  We hope people will share their comments as to “why” they are going over/under.  If you disagree with our over/under choice, of course, feel free to let us know too.  The next team up: North Carolina State.  We are going with an over/under of 7.5 regular season wins.

  1. September 5 vs Troy
  2. September 12 vs Eastern Kentucky
  3. September 19 @ Old Dominion
  4. September 26 @ South Alabama
  5. October 3 vs Louisville
  6. October 9 @ Virginia Tech
  7. October 24 @ Wake Forest
  8. October 31  vs Clemson
  9. November 7 @ Boston College
  10. November 14 @ Florida State
  11. November 21 vs Syracuse
  12. November 28 vs North Carolina

Likely losses: Louisville, Clemson, Florida State

Likely wins: September’s slate.

Summary:  North Carolina State is scheduling itself for 4-0 in out-of-conference play–that much is clear.  The only difficulty here is that two of the games are road games.  No P5 games outside of conference is shameful.  But smart, as NC State only has to win 2 conference games (Syracuse and Wake Forest) to get to a bowl.  And its not like NC State cannot beat Virginia Tech, Boston College or North Carolina also.  Even if we might not be impressed with 6 wins, 9 wins is not out of the question.  Ultimately, however, the Confidential goes with an over-under of 7.5 wins.

What do you think?  Over or under?  Let us know.

Prior discussions: Florida State Georgia Tech Wake Forest Pitt Virginia Virginia Tech Louisville Miami Notre Dame

The Football Over-Unders for 2015: Clemson

This article is another in a series of articles in which the Confidential opines regarding the over/under for football wins in 2015.  We’ll take a cursory look at the schedule and determine what we think is the point where folks will struggle to select “over” or “under.”  We hope people will share their comments as to “why” they are going over/under.  If you disagree with our over/under choice, of course, feel free to let us know too.  The next team up: Clemson.  We are going with an over/under of 10 regular season wins.

  1. September 5 vs Wofford
  2. September 12 vs Appalachian State
  3. September 17 @ Louisville
  4. October 3 vs Notre Dame
  5. October 10 vs Georgia Tech
  6. October 17 vs. Boston College
  7. October 24 @ Miami
  8. October 31 @ NC State
  9. November 7 vs Florida State
  10. November 14 @ Syracuse
  11. November 21 vs Wake Forest
  12. November 28 @ South Carolina

Likely losses: One of Notre Dame/Florida State, one of Louisville/South Carolina

Likely wins: Wofford, Appalachian State, BC, Syracuse, Wake Forest

Summary:  Clemson has an interesting schedule, with two gimmes to start the season and develop confidence–unlike the Georgia games of recent years.  And 5 of the first 6 are home games.  This means that only 2 of the final 6 are home games… and those 2 include a game against Florida State.  We think that Clemson will lose one of the Notre Dame/Florida State home games, as well as one of the Louisville/South Carolina games.  Of course, Clemson could lose all four or win all four.   We are going to eschew the .5 in the win total, as 9.5 seems low and 10.5 seems too high.  In any event, look out for the Clemson Tigers this year, as the Confidential goes with an over-under of 10 wins.

What do you think?  Over or under?  Let us know.

Prior discussions: Florida State Georgia Tech Wake Forest Pitt Virginia Virginia Tech Louisville Miami Notre Dame

The Football Over-Unders for 2015: Notre Dame

This article is another in a series of articles in which the Confidential opines regarding the over/under for football wins in 2015.  We’ll take a cursory look at the schedule and determine what we think is the point where folks will struggle to select “over” or “under.”  We hope people will share their comments as to “why” they are going over/under.  If you disagree with our over/under choice, of course, feel free to let us know too.  The next team up: Notre Dame.  We are going with an over/under of 9.5 regular season wins.

  1. September 5 vs Texas
  2. September 12 @ Virginia
  3. September 19 vs Georgia Tech
  4. September 26 vs UMass
  5. October 3 @ Clemson
  6. October 10 vs Navy
  7. October 17 vs. Southern Cal
  8. October 31 @ Temple
  9. November 7 @ Pittsburgh
  10. November 14 vs Wake Forest
  11. November 21 @ Boston College (Fenway)
  12. November 28 @ Stanford

Likely losses: @ Clemson, @ Stanford

Likely wins: Texas, @ Virginia, UMass, Navy, @ Temple, Wake Forest

Summary:  Notre Dame’s schedule is not TOO awful this year from a difficulty standpoint.  Unlike the full-time ACC schools, Notre Dame has several winnable games OOC–UMass, Navy, Temple.  Then, games against Wake Forest and @ Virginia look interesting.  The opener against Texas should go the Irish’s way too.  So that’s 6 wins.  Can the Irish win 4 of the remaining 6? Probably.  But note how the second half gets much tougher, with road trips to Temple, Pitt, BC, and Stanford.  We see loses to Clemson, Stanford, and at least one other team… with one more game being the swing.  The Confidential goes with an over-under of 9.5 wins.

What do you think?  Over or under?  Let us know.

Prior discussions: Florida State Georgia Tech Wake Forest Pitt Virginia Virginia Tech Louisville Miami Notre Dame

The Football Over-Unders for 2015: Miami

This article is another in a series of articles in which the Confidential opines regarding the over/under for football wins in 2015.  We’ll take a cursory look at the schedule and determine what we think is the point where folks will struggle to select “over” or “under.”  We hope people will share their comments as to “why” they are going over/under.  If you disagree with our over/under choice, of course, feel free to let us know too.  The next team up: Miami.  We are going with an over/under of 6.5 regular season wins.

  1. September 5 vs Bethune-Cookman
  2. September 11 @ Florida Atlantic
  3. September 19 vs Nebraska
  4. October 1 @ Cincinnati
  5. October 10 @ Florida State
  6. October 17 vs. Virginia Tech
  7. October 24 vs. Clemson
  8. October 31 @ Duke
  9. November 7 vs Virginia
  10. November 14 @ North Carolina
  11. November 21 vs Georgia Tech
  12. November 28 @ Pittsburgh

Likely losses: Florida State, Nebraska or Clemson,

Likely wins: Bethune-Cookman, Florida Atlantic

Summary:  Louisville’s schedule is tough, but Miami’s might be tougher.  OOC road games against Florida Atlantic and Cincinnati, sandwiched around a home game against Nebraska.  Then, the first four conference games are @ FSU, Virginia Tech, Clemson, and @ Duke.  Only 6 home games overall.  This is a very tough schedule for Miami–even with the promising offense.  Assume a 2-0 start–do you see 5 wins the rest of the way?  UNC, Duke, and Pitt are winnable–but on the road.  The Confidential goes with an over-under of 6.5 wins.

What do you think?  Over or under?  Let us know.

Prior discussions: Florida State Georgia Tech Wake Forest Pitt Virginia Virginia Tech Louisville

Who Needs Bill Simmons?

The Confidential will step in:

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Notwithstanding this satire, the Confidential is a big fan of Simmons–even owning two of his books.  But he has gotten a bit stale of late, no?  It was fun when he shared our misery–misery that only a fan of a down team or school could appreciate.  The worst thing that happened was the Boston area teams thriving.  The next worst thing was deciding that his readers cared more about the NBA than baseball/football.  Easy for us to say, we don’t have a big NBA gig.  Carry on, Sports Guy, carry on.