Confidential Bracketology: March 9, 2014
Let’s have some fun projecting the NCAA’s top 4 seeds for the Big Dance. This is based on what the Confidential thinks will happen… not going by “if the season ended today.” Projecting out how the regular season tournaments will finish and what the committee will actually do. We limit it to the seeded teams.
The New York City Bracket:
#1. Florida (Orlando pod)
#2. Michigan (Buffalo pod)
#3. Syracuse (Buffalo pod)
#4. Cincinnati (San Diego pod)
The committee considers giving Florida the Memphis bracket, but instead gives them NYC. Syracuse drops to a #3, as Michigan moves up to a #2. The Big 10 is loving that! Another potential Jim Boeheim/John Beilein matchup in the Elite 8. And UCLA gets shipped east to where a guy named Lew Alcindor once played hoops.
The Memphis Bracket:
#1. Wichita State (St. Louis pod)
#2. Kansas (St. Louis pod)
#3. Creighton (San Antonio pod)
#4. Oklahoma (San Antonio pod)
Kansas played a tough schedule, but at some point you can’t lose 7+ games and be a #1 seed. Besides, Wichita State deserves a chance for state-wide supremacy. Oklahoma ekes in over North Carolina for the #4 seed now. Creighton gets the other spot in San Antonio, as well as the #3 seed.
The Indianapolis Bracket:
#1. Duke (Raleigh pod)
#2. Villanova (Orlando pod)
#3. Iowa State (Milwaukee pod)
#4. Michigan State (Spokane pod)
The Duke #1 projection is looking better and better. Villanova is also looking solid. If Michigan State is healthy, that is a very tough Sweet 16 matchup for Duke. Iowa State is below the radar in a difficult Big XII.
The Anaheim Bracket:
#1. Arizona (San Diego pod)
#2. Virginia (Raleigh pod)
#3. Wisconsin (Milwaukee pod)
#4. San Diego State (Spokane pod)
A couple of Eastern US teams head west to take on Arizona and San Diego State. Wisconsin vs. Virginia would be an interesting Bennett reunion. Arizona is vulnerable out here.
I think you have a glaring omission from your top 4 seeds. Even if Louisville doesn’t make it to the AAC championship, at worst they are a 4 seed. If they win the AAC tournament they could sneak in as a 2 seed. Louisville, right now, will get put in the top 4 seeds before Michigan State, Iowa State, SDSU, Creighton, and Oklahoma. Also, you have you regions mixed up. If Duke, 3rd or 4th in its conference (which I doubt), did get a Number #1 seed, they would be sent to the East. Florida, as the NCAA overall #1 seed would get protected in the south. Witchita State, as an undefeated team and second #1 seed would go to the Midwest .
Louisville is definitely in the running for a #4 seed.
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