The Confidential’s 2016 Football Over-Under: Virginia
Last year, the Confidential unveiled over-unders for each ACC school. For Virginia, the over-under was set at 4.5 regular season wins. Ultimately, Virginia ended up with 4 regular season wins, under an already-low number and enough to lead to a coaching change. But now it is on to 2016. The Confidential sets the over-under for Virginia at 5.5 regular season wins.
Here is the schedule for 2016, courtesy of a great football site:
| 9/3 | Sat | vs. | Richmond | |||
| 9/10 | Sat | @ | Oregon | |||
| 9/17 | Sat | @ | Connecticut | |||
| 9/24 | Sat | vs. | Central Michigan | |||
| 10/1 | Sat | @ | *Duke | |||
| 10/15 | Sat | vs. | *Pittsburgh | |||
| 10/22 | Sat | vs. | *North Carolina | |||
| 10/29 | Sat | vs. | *Louisville | |||
| 11/5 | Sat | @ | *Wake Forest | |||
| 11/12 | Sat | vs. | *Miami (Florida) | |||
| 11/19 | Sat | @ | *Georgia Tech | |||
| 11/26 | Sat | @ | *Virginia Tech |
Very likely wins: Richmond, Central Michigan
Very likely losses: @ Oregon, @ Virginia Tech
Verdict: Virginia has an interesting schedule. Avoiding Clemson, Florida State, and Notre Dame makes it softish in-conference. Trips to Connecticut and Wake Forest make those games less winnable. Hosting Pitt, UNC, Miami, and Louisville makes those games less automatically losable. Trips to Duke, Georgia Tech, and Virginia Tech will, or at least should be, very tough. All in all, it is not hard to see Virginia winning anywhere from 3 to 8 games. Still, it is tough to envision Virginia being likely to come out on the high side of that range. So the Confidential will go with an over-under of 5.5 wins.
What do you think? Will Virginia go over or under 5.5 regular season wins?
The Confidential 
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