The Confidential

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ACC Winter Meetings Update- Future ACC Basketball Tournament Sites

Finally, we have some news out of the ACC Winter Meetings! Swofford has been FAR too quiet the past few days despite all of the realignment rumors that have been picking up speed in this blog and others. Fortunately, as any ACC member knows, silence from John Swofford and the ACC can be a good thing. HE’S UP TO SOMETHING.

ESPN just posted an article regarding  ACC Basketball Tournament sites and the possibility of future tournaments in New York City. What do you guys think about that? While I’m an NC native and a current resident, I’ve never liked the tournament being in Greensboro. Sure, I love the history, and the location is pretty convenient for me, but it just hasn’t seemed like the right place for the past few years. The league’s membership has grown and changed and so has its footprint. The location of its tournament must reflect that.

I’ve recently been a proponent of the conference expanding to 16 teams. Once we got beyond 10, scheduling  just became too difficult and unwieldy. With 16 teams, you can split up into four pods and play 9 conference games in football. That means you can play your entire pod (3 games), another full pod (4 games) and half of a third pod (2 games) each year. Under that configuration, teams would be able to see each other at least once every other year and play a game at every team’s home at least once every four years. That’s way better than things are now. Under the new scheduling rotation and current divisional model, it may take UNC up to 8 years to play Wake Forest, a longtime rival who’s campus is just 80 miles down the road from Chapel Hill. So how would these pods look?

Tobacco Road                    Deep South                Mid-Atlantic              North

North Carolina                        Miami                              Virginia                           Boston College

NC State                                     Florida State                  Virginia Tech              Syracuse

Wake Forest                             Georgia Tech                 Pittsburgh                    Louisville

Duke                                            Clemson                           West Virginia              Notre Dame

You’ll notice that I have West Virginia and Notre Dame in there. I believe that WVU has always belonged in the ACC and that ND WILL be forced to join a conference at some point. Its conference of choice is the ACC. They have proven this by taking partial membership with us over the Big 12 and rejecting the B10 on numerous occasions. If superconferences were to be logically created (and they probably won’t be), then the Big 12 would be the next to fall (not the ACC) and WVU would be free to join without the grant of rights restriction (which could just as easily be broken if 5 or more Big 12 members wanted to leave).

All that to say, is that it is imperative that the league shake its “Tobacco Road” bias image. That is why I propose that the tournament develop a permanent rotation between four cities: Orlando (ESPN Wide World of Sports Complex- Deep South POD), Raleigh (PNC Arena- Tobacco Road POD), DC (Washington Wizards Arena- Mid-Atlantic POD), Brooklyn (Barclays Center- North POD). Not only do these cities provide a variety of entertainment, dining and housing options for fans, but they also come with a significant corporate population and satisfy the fan bases of each “pod.” No longer would the ACC tournament be seen as a place where the North Carolina schools are given an advantage. With a strict, set rotation, fans could expect their favorite team to have an unbiased leg-up on the competition once every four years. This would also ease with travel plans for fans and teams and leave the league to work on more important matters such as re-branding itself and marketing its product.

What do you think? While we haven’t heard much yet, the news out of Florida (the location of the ACC Winter Meetings) is encouraging. John Swofford seems to be more willing to stray from the past, as seen with the addition of Louisville, than ever before and this can only be good for the future of the conference.

The Rare Shout-Out to Other Blogs

The Confidential’s two favorite general blogs on the Internet, other than this one, are Frank the Tank and ACC Football Rx.  They should be part of any ACC fan’s regular reading.

ACC Football Rx is ACC-focused, which is great.  With a focus on football and expansion, the primary author, Hokie Mark, does a great job of picking subjects, accumulating data, and being realistic/positive about the ACC.  Really, there are far too many good articles over there to point out just one.  Add it your list.

Frank the Tank is expansion-based and Big 10 centric (to say the least), but there are a fair share of commentators who hold an allegiance outside the Big 10.  And the author is quite-evenhanded in discussing other conferences.  The commentariat is a little less reasoned, but are a great source for expansion ideas.

That blog’s latest entry discusses the Big XII and the ACC, the alliance discussed here last week, and other topics.  As always, the blog is quick to note that the assumption that the ACC in jeopardy is more fantasy than reality right now:

So, that’s where I see the threats of the ACC becoming completely coming apart end up failing.  UNC, in particular, has Texas-esque influence (even if it’s more perceived than real) in the ACC, and the actions of Deloss Dodds and the Longhorns have shown that power and big dog status can be even more important as making the most TV money from a conference.  (Notre Dame feels the same way.)  As a result, the thought that UNC and UVA are going to bolt because they are scared that the ACC will collapse doesn’t hold water with me.  Those 2 schools can keep the ACC together alone and they have enough powerful alums with massive pocketbooks and politicians backing them where getting more TV revenue isn’t going to carry the same weight with them as it did with Maryland.

That’s some good stuff too. And it really underscores why the ACC’s biggest problem is worrying about what the rest of the conference schools might be thinking.

If you care about the ACC, expansion matters.  These two blogs are two more to add to your required reading list.

What’s up?/ACC Winter Meetings

Hey guys, what’s up? I just wanted to introduce myself. I’m the new UNC correspondent for Atlantic Coast Confidential. Born in Raleigh, NC to two Virginia Tech grads, I was raised on Tobacco Road and loved every minute of it. Growing up, I actually had pretty much no loyalty to any team at all, cheering for UNC, NC State, Duke (I regret that) and even Wake since VT wasn’t in the ACC yet. But by the time they joined in 2004, I had decided to go to UNC and my loyalties were set for life. I still cheer for VT when they’re not playing Carolina, but when they do, it’s all Carolina all the time. That means that this Saturday’s upcoming game will be pretty fun. But I’m realistic. I know that a stronger ACC makes us all look good, so come tournament time I’m cheering for everybody except Duke (the Lehigh game was great). So while I love Carolina, I’ve always loved the ACC first and am extremely excited about sharing that passion with you.

Mr. Tar Heel

– Watch the ACC Spring Meetings over the next few days. What happens will pretty much determine whether we even need this blog next year, or if the long-rumored (by WVU fans) Armageddon is about to begin. My take- The whole idea is completely overblown. There’s way too much potential in a conference with the best media markets, over 33% of the US population, huge football brands (FSU, ND, Miami, Clemson, VT, etc.), legendary basketball programs (UNC, Duke, NC State, Syracuse, Pitt, Louisville etc.), the best academics, most successful Olympic sports and unparalleled tradition for anything drastic to happen. Swofford will, as he always has, surprise everyone with something that will put the ACC on even monetary terms with the rest of the power conferences. ESPN has invested in the ACC way too much to see its product fall to Fox, or its other competitors. Plus, I just don’t see UNC forsaking its cultural roots for an all-around bad fit (Big 10), or FSU pulling a WVU and letting geographic sense fly out the window.

If The Confidential Ran the NBDL

The Confidential loves college hoops.  The Confidential used to enjoy the NBA.  It was back in the day when college seniors would get drafted and you could follow the college stars as they meshed with NBA superstars.  Somewhere along the way, the NBA lost a lot of fans.  At least part of it is that the NBA is populated by players that spent less than two years in college.  We never got a chance to like them and they were off to ride the pine while their potential wasted away.  The NBDL is an opportunity to bridge the gap with college fans.  Instead of taking advantage of it, the NBA minimizes it.  It is a missed opportunity.  So here is The Confidential’s plan to use the NBDL to help lure the college fan base back to the NBA game.

First, how about an NBA tweak.  Allow an extra roster spot for a college graduate at 1/2 the league minimum.  Why is the NBA choosing potential over a flawed, but beloved player?  Well, everyone knows why.  But there is a cost–the college fan is marginalized.  So allow one measly roster spot to be populated by a player that will play sparingly, but get an idea how the NBA works.  We’ll watch to see if/when he plays.  Like a walk-on, etc.

Second, use the NBDL.  Right now, there are NBDL teams in what cities?  Do you even know?  Care?  The NBA forced ten gajillion WNBA commercials on fans… but who can name 10 NBDL locations?

Well, here you go:

  • Canton, Ohio (the football hall of fame town is a great place for a hoops team)
  • Erie, Pennsylvania (yawn)
  • Fort Wayne, Indiana (perhaps)
  • Maine (a whole state)
  • Springfield, Massachusetts
  • Austin, Texas (great!)
  • Iowa (a whole state, but we can live with this)
  • Hidalgo, Texas (population 12,000–12,020 when in-season)
  • Sioux Falls, South Dakota (did Winnipeg balk?)
  • Frisco, Texas (it’s near Dallas)
  • Tulsa, Oklahoma (fine)
  • Bakersfield, California (arena can be expanded to fit 700 fans!)
  • Boise, Idaho (again, arena football makes more sense than hoops)
  • Los Angeles, California (as if this is cracks the top 100,000 in things to do in L.A.)
  • Reno, Nevada (because the NBA does not want to be associated with gambling… what?)
  • Santa Cruz, California

Yawn city.  Just mistake after mistake.

Why doesn’t the NBA locate its NBDL franchises near popular college basketball hotbeds?   Let us get to see more of these guys–we miss them!

How about this instead:

  • Hartford, Connecticut (captures the Boston fan base and UConn, as well as anything Northeast… but is NOT in Maine)
  • Rochester, New York (captures the Syracuse fan base–good enough to put 34,000 people in a Dome, occasionally, as well as Buffalo metro)
  • Alexandria, Virginia (captures the DC area, Maryland, and Virginia)
  • Canton, Ohio (fine… Ohio)
  • Flint, Michigan (get the Michigan State and Michigan fans fired up)
  • Fort Wayne, Indiana (fine… all the Indiana schools’ fans)
  • Madison, Wisconsin (the Big 10/NFC North, etc.)
  • Tulsa, Oklahoma (fine)
  • Topeka, Kansas (the Kansas fans)
  • Austin, Texas (fine)
  • Louisville, Kentucky (another hoops hotbed)
  • Raleigh, NC (NC hoops!)
  • Salem, Oregon (the Northwest!)
  • Santa Clara, California (fine)
  • Los Angeles, California (fine… but nobody will care)
  • Phoenix, Arizona (the AZ/New Mexico hoops fans)

Did we get everyone?  Probably not, Florida & the Southeast are underrepresented.  But this is a start.

Imagine a Rochester, NY, team with three former Syracuse players.  People would care…. especially if/when a player was called up.  Imagine Kentucky/Louisville fans watching 5-6 of their former players on one team?  People would care.  Same with North Carolina and Indiana.  Perhaps limit it to three players from a college within 100 miles or something.  Whatever.  The NCAA does not want NBDL franchises being a lure for college players (as if).

Why wouldn’t it work?  You tell us.

The First Weekly Confidential Correspondent Poll: January 28, 2013

Well, the ballots were distributed to the Confidential’s correspondent pool.  With 5 precincts reporting, here is the top 12 for the ACC as of January 28, 2013:

1.  Duke  (2 first place votes)   56 points

2.  Syracuse (1 first place vote)   54 points

3.  Miami (2 first place votes)  49 points

4.  North Carolina State   44 points

5.  (tie) Notre Dame and Pitt  37 points

7.  Louisville  30 points

8.  Virginia   25 points

9.  Maryland   23 points

10.  North Carolina 17 points

11. Florida State  11 points

12. Clemson  6 points

Notes:

Georgia Tech was placed #12 on a ballot each, but Wake Forest, Virginia Tech, and Boston College did not crack anyone’s top 12.  Sorry to those teams.

It is clear that name value still matters, as Duke and Syracuse suffered losses but stayed in the top 2.  Meanwhile, not everyone is persuaded that Miami is for real.  Was it just a hot January?  We’ll see.

North Carolina State is generally #4 or #5 in each poll.  It gets interesting thereafter, with the teams very hard to place.  Is Louisville the team that was ranked #1 in the country or the one that has lost 3 in a row?  What are Notre Dame, Pitt, and Maryland REALLY?  And it is odd to see North Carolina so low.  But do its rivals really care?  Enjoy the middle of the pack.  Virginia could find itself several places higher soon enough. 

Anyway, what do YOU think.  Does Duke still deserve the #1 spot?  Does Syracuse?  Miami?  Someone else?

Weekend Hoops Review: January 28, 2013

As we draw ever closer to March madness, the weekends become more and more important for ACC basketball fans.  Here are the questions posed before the games, as well as the answers.

Games from Saturday, January 26, 2013:

How will Duke respond to its 27-point loss to Miami this week?  We’ll find out when they take on 15-4 Maryland today.  Expect Coach K’s team to rebound at home–but if they lose???   Wow–what a tough week.

Well, Duke rebounded.  Not literally, as Maryland outrebounded the Blue Devils 42-31.  Duke figuratively rebounded, defeating Maryland in convincing fashion, 84-64.  Freshman Rasheed Sulaimon led the Blue Devils with 25 points, but it was a team effort…offensively and defensively.  With the win, Duke improves to 17-2 overall and 4-2 in conference play.  Despite the loss, Maryland is still 15-5, albeit with a 3-4 conference record.

With apologies to others, today’s North Carolina-North Carolina State game is the best of the day.  NC State is 15-4 and ranked #18.  North Carolina is 13-5 and unranked.  Really, North Carolina is closer to the bottom of the ACC than the top right now–if you count the future members.  You know NC State wants to do to the Tar Heels what Miami did to Duke.

Our NC State correspondent was cautiously optimistic, but it was the caution that was the mistake.  The Pack jumped out to a 45-26 lead at halftime, and then coasted to a 91-83 victory.  Three players had double-doubles: CJ Leslie (17 points, 10 rebounds), Richard Howell (16 points, 14 rebounds), and Lorenzo Brown (2o points, 11 assists).  Oh, and two other players scored in double figures too.  With the win, State has now beaten Duke and UNC, and sits at 5-2 in conference play. 

Louisville’s loss to Syracuse was understandable.  Louisville’s loss to Villanova was far less so.  No rest for the weary as the #5 Cardinals head to Georgetown today.  A win–and the ship is back on course.  A loss?  And now you’ve got a 3-game losing streak.  Can Rick Pitino get his team focused?  We’ll see.

Uh-oh.  Louisville lost again.  Offensively inept Georgetown defeated the Cardinals 53-51, making it three-straight losses for Rich Pitino’s squad.  At the very least, Louisville is not being dominated by teams.  It took a tip-in for this loss.  Needless to say, however, Louisville needs to right the ship fast.  And the schedule does not let up–with Pitt on Monday, as well as games against Marquette, St. Johns, and Notre Dame in the next two weeks.

#3 Syracuse travels to Villanova.  If Villanova can pull another upset, that would be quite a week for the Wildcats.  Syracuse has been treading water, but needs to take care of business today.

The Orange had been playing with fire in the games without James Southerland, and it finally came back to haunt them, losing to Villianova in overtime, 75-71.  Without Southerland, foul trouble cost Syracuse two of its bigs in regulation.  33.3% from the field did not help either.  But don’t feel sorry for Syracuse, they are 18-2 overall and 6-1 in conference play.  They have won 28 of their last 30 Big East regular season games too.

#24 Notre Dame leaves the snow to head to Florida to take on South Florida.  The Bulls are better than most think, but at 10-8 aren’t doing themselves any favors.

The Fighting Irish improved to 16-4 overall by toppling the Bulls, 73-65.  With Villanova, Syracuse, and Louisville on the schedule in the next two weeks, Notre Dame needed to win this winnable game.  

At 16-4, Pitt has hardly been awful this year.  They get to host DePaul today to get that 17th win.

Pitt utterly destroyed DePaul, 93-55.  This puts the Panthers at 17-4 overall and 5-3 in conference play.  Are they back?  Not sure a win over DePaul can provide any answers about that.  We’ll see how it goes against Louisville, Syracuse, Cincinnati, and Marquette over the next 5 games.  

Wake Forest and Georgia Tech are both hovering at .500 overall.  Georgia Tech is on a 5-game losing streak and needs a win badly.

Georgia Tech got its first conference win of the year, beating up on Wake Forest, 82 to 62.  The Yellow Jackets jumped on the Demon Deacons, racing to a 52-29 lead at halftime.  Georgia Tech was due, if not overdue, for a win, so let’s give them credit for doing so in convincing fashion.  Wake Forest drops to 3-4 in conference play.

At 13-5, Virginia is having a nice, but unspectacular season.  They cannot afford to lose to 9-9 Boston College, obviously.

Despite trailing at halftime, Virginia rallied in the second half to put Boston College away, 65-51.  For the Wahoos, this means avoiding a very ugly loss on the resume.  This also improves them to 14-5 overall and 4-2 in conference play.

Games on Sunday, January 27, 2013:

If only these were football games.

11-7 Virginia Tech travels to 10-8 Clemson for a 1:00 p.m. matchup.  These teams are not likely to be dancing in March, but they need wins to keep NIT hopes alive.

Clemson moved to 11-8 with a 77-70 victory over the now 11-8 Virginia Tech Hokies.  Senior Milton Jennings had his best game ever, with 28 points and 14 rebounds.  He also had four blocks and was an amazing 16 for 18 from the foul line.  Meanwhile, Virginia Tech has lost two in a row and is only 2-4 in conference play.    

At 14-3 overall and 5-0 in conference play, Miami looks to build off its utter destruction of #1 Duke this week.  A win over disappointing Florida State would be a nice rivalry win, as well as a reason to move Miami up substantially in the polls.  The ACC wisely chose to feature this game as its 6:00 p.m. Sunday game.  The Battle for Florida is on.

Miami destroyed Florida State, 71-47, to move to 6-0 in conference play.  At 15-3, Miami is due for a substantial rise in the polls.  Is it an understatement to say that hiring Jim Larranaga was a good idea?  Meanwhile, Florida State continues to struggle… now 3-3 in conference play and 11-8 overall.  

The Last Weekend of January: ACC Hoops

As we draw ever closer to March madness, the weekends become more and more important for ACC basketball fans.

Saturday, January 26, 2013:

How will Duke respond to its 27-point loss to Miami this week?  We’ll find out when they take on 15-4 Maryland today.  Expect Coach K’s team to rebound at home–but if they lose???   Wow–what a tough week.

With apologies to others, today’s North Carolina-North Carolina State game is the best of the day.  NC State is 15-4 and ranked #18.  North Carolina is 13-5 and unranked.  Really, North Carolina is closer to the bottom of the ACC than the top right now–if you count the future members.  You know NC State wants to do to the Tar Heels what Miami did to Duke.

Louisville’s loss to Syracuse was understandable.  Louisville’s loss to Villanova was far less so.  No rest for the weary as the #5 Cardinals head to Georgetown today.  A win–and the ship is back on course.  A loss?  And now you’ve got a 3-game losing streak.  Can Rick Pitino get his team focused?  We’ll see.

#3 Syracuse travels to Villanova.  If Villanova can pull another upset, that would be quite a week for the Wildcats.  Syracuse has been treading water, but needs to take care of business today.

#24 Notre Dame leaves the snow to head to Florida to take on South Florida.  The Bulls are better than most think, but at 10-8 aren’t doing themselves any favors.

At 16-4, Pitt has hardly been awful this year.  They get to host DePaul today to get that 17th win.

Wake Forest and Georgia Tech are both hovering at .500 overall.  Georgia Tech is on a 5-game losing streak and needs a win badly.

At 13-5, Virginia is having a nice, but unspectacular season.  They cannot afford to lose to 9-9 Boston College, obviously.

Sunday, January 27, 2013:

If only these were football games.

11-7 Virginia Tech travels to 10-8 Clemson for a 1:00 p.m. matchup.  These teams are not likely to be dancing in March, but they need wins to keep NIT hopes alive.

At 14-3 overall and 5-0 in conference play, Miami looks to build off its utter destruction of #1 Duke this week.  A win over disappointing Florida State would be a nice rivalry win, as well as a reason to move Miami up substantially in the polls.  The ACC wisely chose to feature this game as its 6:00 p.m. Sunday game.  The Battle for Florida is on.

Great 24 hours for the Miami Hurricanes

Why is it a great day as a Cane?

Yesterday, at 12:oo PM, the NCAA discovered improper conduct in its investigation against Miami. Many people are speaking out against the NCAA, could the NCAA just drop the case overall?  It is now investigating itself. The NOA (Notice of Allegations) is not expected anytime soon.

A few hours later The Canes pulled off one of the greatest upsets in College Basketball history. Miami was a heavy underdog against Duke, but just beat the ranked #1 Blue Devils 90-63. Durand Scott scored 25 points for Miami, and Kenny Kadjishot  added 22. Shane Larkin had 10 rebounds, and dropped 18 points. Julian Gamble also got 10 rebounds. But one of the big stories of the night was Reggie Johnson’s unexpected return. Although he scored just 2 point, his 5 rebounds in just 16 minutes really fueled the Canes. It was one of the biggest losses ever suffered by a number one team and  the first time Miami has beat a team ranked 1 in College Basketball.

This morning, James Coley, Florida State’s Offensive Coordinator, accepted a job offer from Miami at the same position. Not really a surprise, Miami will give him a chance to call the plays. FSU, didn’t, Head Coach Jimbo Fisher called the plays when he was at FSU

The only time Coley has actually called plays, was at FIU in 2007, FIU went 1-11 that year and finished dead last in scoring offense, they averaged just 15.5 ppg. Although this is attributed to the lack of talent FIU had at the time, we won’t know until next year if he’s a capable play caller. On a more positive note, Coley is praised as an elite recruiter though. Only time will tell if this is a good hire.

The ACC Has 4 Champ-worthy Basketball Teams

Peter Tiernan of CBS Sports has an interesting take on whether various teams are capable of winning it all in the 2013 big dance: http://www.cbssports.com/collegebasketball/blog/eye-on-college-basketball/21598229/champ-check-six-have-inside-track-to-title.  Tiernan notes that the last 8 Champions have shared certain criteria.  This year, only six teams currently share those same criteria–Duke, Kansas, Louisville, Syracuse, Indiana, Michigan, Ohio State,  Florida, Minnesota, and North Carolina State.  Thus, the ACC has four champ-worthy teams.

The article actually has a good discussion of the common criteria among champions.  It is an interesting read.  What do you think?

The Confidential’s NCAA Basketball Top 10

The Confidential is going to switch to a new format for its national rankings of the best basketball teams.  Instead of a top 25, it will just be a top 10.  Here it goes:

10. Minnesota – So far this season, Minnesota’s three losses have all come at the hands of the team that was ranked #5 in the country that week.
9. Gonzaga – Gonzaga was an in-bounds pass away from defeating Butler and advancing further in the top-10 after a hard-fought, back-and-forth game that looked every bit like a March Madness game.
8. Indiana – There is no excuse to losing to Wisconsin at home; now Indiana has to take care of business at Northwestern.
7. Ohio State – OSU followed a big time win over Michigan with a tough loss against the always difficult Michigan State. You have to give the Buckeyes credit for having one of the most difficult schedules in the country, hopefully that will pay off dividends in April.
6. Arizona – With only 1-loss on their resume, it’s hard to not put Arizona into the top 5 and it’s not their fault that the Pac-12 is not as good of league as the Big East, ACC, or even the BigTen. But, they haven’t really had a big win since early December.
5. Michigan – It seems illogical to rank Michigan ahead of Ohio State, the only team that have beaten them all season, but unlike the Buckeyes, the Wolverines won their match-up this week against a tough opponent in Minnesota.
4. Louisville – Big win against UConn, tough loss at home against Syracuse. Louisville has the talent to be cutting down the nets in April.
3. Duke – Duke recovered from their loss against NCState and did what they had to do: soundly beat Georgia Tech. With Ryan Kelly back in the lineup, this team could be unstoppable.
2. Syracuse – Their huge comeback win against #1 Louisville on Saturday is certainly worthy of retaking the top position, unfortunately the edge just goes to…
1. Kansas – Kansas’ win over Texas wasn’t impressive, but they keep finding ways to win. We’ll know a lot more about this team after their next test against their in-state rival in Manhattan.

A lot more “future ACC” than current ACC… what is the deal?

 

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