The Confidential

The Football Over-Unders for 2015: Miami

This article is another in a series of articles in which the Confidential opines regarding the over/under for football wins in 2015.  We’ll take a cursory look at the schedule and determine what we think is the point where folks will struggle to select “over” or “under.”  We hope people will share their comments as to “why” they are going over/under.  If you disagree with our over/under choice, of course, feel free to let us know too.  The next team up: Miami.  We are going with an over/under of 6.5 regular season wins.

1. September 5 vs Bethune-Cookman
   
2. September 11 @ Florida Atlantic
   
3. September 19 vs Nebraska
4. October 1 @ Cincinnati
   
5. October 10 @ Florida State
6. October 17 vs. Virginia Tech
   
7. October 24 vs. Clemson
8. October 31 @ Duke
9. November 7 vs Virginia
10. November 14 @ North Carolina
11. November 21 vs Georgia Tech
12. November 28 @ Pittsburgh

Likely losses: Florida State, Nebraska or Clemson,

Likely wins: Bethune-Cookman, Florida Atlantic

Summary:  Louisville’s schedule is tough, but Miami’s might be tougher.  OOC road games against Florida Atlantic and Cincinnati, sandwiched around a home game against Nebraska.  Then, the first four conference games are @ FSU, Virginia Tech, Clemson, and @ Duke.  Only 6 home games overall.  This is a very tough schedule for Miami–even with the promising offense.  Assume a 2-0 start–do you see 5 wins the rest of the way?  UNC, Duke, and Pitt are winnable–but on the road.  The Confidential goes with an over-under of 6.5 wins.

What do you think?  Over or under?  Let us know.

Prior discussions: Florida State Georgia Tech Wake Forest Pitt Virginia Virginia Tech Louisville