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The Confidential

The ACC Sports Blog

The Football Over-Unders for 2015: Syracuse

This article is another in a series of articles in which the Confidential opines regarding the over/under for football wins in 2015.  We’ll take a cursory look at the schedule and determine what we think is the point where folks will struggle to select “over” or “under.”  We hope people will share their comments as to “why” they are going over/under.  If you disagree with our over/under choice, of course, feel free to let us know too.  The next team up: Syracuse (see recent discussion of Syracuse).  We are going with an over/under of 5.5 regular season wins.

  1. September 4 vs Rhode Island
  2. September 12 vs Wake Forest
  3. September 19 vs Central Michigan
  4. September 26 vs Louisiana State
  5. October 10 @ South Florida
  6. October 17 @ Virginia
  7. October 24 vs Pittsburgh
  8. October 31 @ Florida State
  9. November 7 @ Louisville
  10. November 14 vs Clemson
  11. November 21 @ NC State
  12. November 28 vs Boston College

Likely losses: LSU, Florida State, Louisville, Clemson

Likely wins: Rhode Island, Wake Forest, Central Michigan

Summary:  Syracuse finally scheduled somewhat appropriately–with only one P5 school, LSU.  Still, LSU is a tough opponent for a school like Syracuse, which rarely fares well against 10-win teams.  But there is a legitimate chance for Syracuse to start 3-0, and perhaps even get to 6-1 before the Florida State game.  They might have to if they want to be bowl-eligible because you have to think that the three game stretch of FSU, Louisville, and Clemson is going to be a three-loss stretch.  We think Syracuse improves a notch over last–but bowl eligibility may require Syracuse to go 3-1 OOC and then beat 3 of Virginia, Pitt, NC State, Wake Forest, and BC?  It is easy to say yes in August.  Let’s see if the ‘Cuse can actually do it.  Ultimately, the Confidential deems it a toss up and goes with an over-under of 5.5 wins.

What do you think?  Over or under?  Let us know.

Prior discussions: Florida State Georgia Tech Wake Forest Pitt Virginia Virginia Tech Louisville Miami Notre Dame NC State Duke Boston College UNC

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4 thoughts on “The Football Over-Unders for 2015: Syracuse

  1. With this schedule, there is no reason why Syracuse should not be optimistic about their chances to go bowling this year. Even with three automatic losses (LSU, FSU, Clemson), and one very likely loss (Louisville), there are four very winnable games to start the season (Rhode Island, WakeTheForest, Central Michigan, USF). That means the ‘Cuse have to win just 2 of: Virginia, Pittsburgh, NC State, Boston College.

    Seems simple enough. Except for the fact that I have zero confidence in Scott Shafer’s coaching abilities.

    Let’s face it, has Shafer really done anything to show that he’s a great HC, let alone even a moderately decent one? The guy routinely gets out-coached game-after-game and, frankly, has relied on luck (or major mistakes by the other team) in order to win.

    2013: Boston College just needed to take a knee with less than 2 minutes to go and would have sealed a win against the Orange, but they inexplicably run a play that goes out of bounds – stopping the clock and ensuring SU gets another possession. The Orange, under much maligned OC George McDonald, march down the field and score a TD to win and make the Orange bowl eligible for the 3rd time in 4 years.

    2013: The Orange give up a two TD lead to Minnesota in the 2nd half. The Gophers are trying to hold onto their lead in the Texas Bowl when they outkicked their coverage and Brisley Estime gets a clear lane to return the kick into Minnesota territory. The following offensive sequence resulted in a TD that gave SU the win

    Also of note for 2013 was the entire Drew Allen debacle.

    2014: Villanova should have won in the dome opener except for a missed FG attempt with 15 seconds remaining to stun the Orange who were unprepared to play without Hunt (DQ) against a tough Wildcats team. After Syracuse relied on a trick-play to take a lead in the 2nd OT, Villanova had a chance to send the game into the 3rd OT by going for an XP, instead they opted to win the game with a 2pt conversion that failed.

    Despite a complete dismantling of CMU and a win against WtF, the team put together a string of losses that was borderline GRob-esque. They were given a clinic on how to run the bubble screen by Maryland, and then a week later watched helplessly as ND’s Golston completed an NCAA record number of consecutive completions; this despite the orange forcing 5 Irish turnovers. L’ville: Loss, NC State: loss, Duke, PItt, BC: loss, loss, loss.

    Also of note for 2014 was the entire George McDonald/Tim Lester debacle.

    Sure, we can blame the injury bug; but every team has injuries.
    Yes, we can blame the offensive coordinators (one of which was lauded as a hero against BC and Minnesota just a year earlier).

    Bin 2015 you have to put the down the orange-colored glasses on Coach Shafer and realize that he may be a great motivator, a great recruiter, and a great ambassador for Orange football (maybe not to China), but the guy is just not a good head coach.

    My prediction: the Orange start 3-0 and the Orange faithful start having delusional fever dreams about going to a New Year’s Day Bowl game…they put up a good fight against LSU, recover against USF, but the wheels fall off at UVA and Syracuse go on a 5 game losing streak before beating NC state. A loss against BC closes out the 2015 season and sees Scott Shafer and Co. heading back to the Midwest for his next coaching gig in the MAC.

  2. hhuntley17 on said:

    Yeah I’ll take the over and agree with you. No question, this is the best chance Cuse has had in awhile.

  3. Pingback: Recap of the Confidential Football Over-Unders for 2015 | The Confidential

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