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The ACC in the Final Four

With North Carolina defending its #1 seed against Syracuse, who went from bubble to Houston, it is yet another season with the ACC being well-represented in the Final Four.  How often has the ACC had a representative?  Well, here is your answer (champions in bold, current members that were not in the ACC at the time in italics, former members that were in the ACC at that time in strikethrough):

2016: North Carolina, Syracuse

2015: Duke

2013: Syracuse, Louisville

2012: Louisville

2010: Duke

2009: North Carolina

2008: North Carolina

2005: North Carolina, Louisville

2004: Duke, Georgia Tech

2003: Syracuse

2002: Maryland

2001: Duke, Maryland

2000: North Carolina

1999: Duke

1998: North Carolina

1997: North Carolina

1996: Syracuse

1995: North Carolina

1994: Duke

1993: North Carolina

1992: Duke

1991: Duke, North Carolina

1990: Duke, Georgia Tech

1989: Duke

1988: Duke

1987: Syracuse

1986: Louisville, Duke

1984: Virginia

1983: North Carolina State

1982: North Carolina, Louisville

1981: North Carolina, Virginia

1980: Louisville

1978: Duke, Notre Dame

1977: North Carolina

1975: Syracuse, Louisville

1974: North Carolina State

1972: North Carolina, Florida State, Louisville

1969: North Carolina

1968: North Carolina

1967: North Carolina

1966: Duke

1964: Duke

1963: Duke

1962: Wake Forest

1959: Louisville

1957: North Carolina

ACC was formed in 1953

1950: North Carolina State

1946: North Carolina

1941: Pittsburgh

As you can see, the ACC and Final Four go together quite nicely.  Even limiting it to conference affiliation at the time of the Final Four, that is 33 ACC schools in 35 Final Fours from 1981 to 2016.  Pretty.  Darn.  Impressive.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

ACC Post-Season Tournament Update

As you are probably aware, the post-season tournaments have been announced–with most attention deservedly focused on the Big Dance!  In fact, you are probably entering bracket tournaments as we speak.  Feel free to enter the Confidential’s annual contest–it is free, but also has a $25 prize via PayPal to the winner!  See here.  In any event, here is a recap of who from the ACC is going where:

The Big Dance

  • North Carolina earned a #1 seed in the East and tipoffs of Thursday in Raleigh against a play-in team to be determined.
  • Virginia also earned a #1 seed, in the Midwest, where it will begin play in Raleigh on Thursday against Hampton.
  • Miami earned a #3 seed in the South and was shipped all the way up to Providence, where it will face off against Buffalo on Thursday.
  • Duke will join Miami n Providence as the #4 seed, where it will face North Carolina-Wilmington on Thursday.
  • Notre Dame is a #6 seed in the East, where it will face a play-in opponent in Brooklyn on Friday.
  • Oddly, Pittsburgh is the third ACC team in the East, where it is a #10 seed playing in St. Louis on Friday against a tough Wisconsin team.
  • Syracuse was on the bubble, but made it in as a 10 seed in the Midwest, where it will begin play on Friday in St. Louis against Dayton.

The N.I.T.

  • Florida State will host Davidson.
  • Georgia Tech will host Houston.
  • Virginia Tech will host Princeton.

Other Tournaments

No ACC teams are participating in the CBI or CIT, and the field for the Vegas tournament has not yet been announced.

 

 

ACC Recruiting Recap

With another football letter of intent signing day passing by yesterday, the analysis begins.  The major outlets take their subjective weight given to players and look at how those players accumulated at schools.  If there was ever an example of “garbage-in, garbage-out,” it would be this task.  Nevertheless, throwing out all the subjectives, there is certainly some sort of correlation between “good recruiting classes” and results (except at Texas and Miami).  So here is what folks think of the 2016 football recruiting classes.

RIVALS

Here is the overall top ten listed at Rivals.  As you can see, Florida State and Clemson crack the top 25.

Rank School Total 5 Stars 4 Stars 3 Stars Avg Points
1 24 5 10 9 3.83 2885
2 25 1 18 4 3.72 2816
3 24 2 15 7 3.79 2704
4 28 1 15 12 3.61 2603
5 22 3 10 6 3.59 2530
6 23 0 15 6 3.57 2515
7 24 2 10 12 3.58 2507
8 20 2 11 7 3.75 2429
9 21 2 11 6 3.62 2403
10 20 3 10 6 3.75 2387

As for all the ACC schools:

  • #2  Florida State-twitter seems to suggest a disappointment that this is not deemed the #1 class.  But the Seminoles would certainly prefer a national title over a recruiting rankings title.
  • #5 Clemson–in-state rival South Carolina was way down at #26.
  • #12 Notre Dame–between UCLA, Texas, and Florida makes sense.  Behind Mississippi does not.  And rival USC is a few spots up at #8, while Stanford is a few spots down at #18.
  • #22 Miami–Miami has never had trouble getting talent and this is a decent class for Mark Richt in just a few weeks.
  • #24 North Carolina–ahead of historical blue blood Nebraska, neighbor South Carolina, and current elite school Oregon.  Good things happening in Chapel Hill.
  • #30 Pittsburgh–Pitt has had good recruiting classes year after year–the benefit of being located in Pennsylvania, adjacted to Ohio, and next to both New Jersey and the D.C. Corridor.
  • #31 Duke–we are used to top classes in hoops, but the Blue Devils on-field success is translating into better football recruiting classes, including a class better than football stalwarts Wisconsin and Arkansas… and a top half class within the ACC.
  • #37 Louisville–a decent class, but Cards fans cannot like seeing Kentucky up at #28.  There is an SEC bias, to be sure, but who would have expected that?  Still, #3 in the Atlantic.
  • #43 NC State–squarely in the middle of the Atlantic at #4.  Ahead of Wake Forest, but behind Duke and UNC.  Ahead of Syracuse in the division, but behind Louisville.  Not good, not bad.
  • #49 Virginia Tech–as a ranking, this must be disappointing.  Houston, Northwestern, and Brigham Young should generally not out-recruit the Hokies.  Chalk it up to a new coach.
  • #57 Syracuse–being behind Washington State, Iowa State, and Indiana is ordinarily disappointing, but new coach Dino Babers worked some magic to get Syracuse above four other ACC schools in just a few weeks.
  • #62 Virginia–former coach Mike London was a good recruiter, and the coaching switch seemed to cost Virignia slightly.  Not much of a new coach bounce.  UCF, Temple, Vanderbilt, and Colorado State were among the schools to have better ranked classes.
  • #63 Wake Forest–hey, anytime the Demon Deacons avoid the basement, it is a good thing.
  • #68 Georgia Tech–having only 18 recruits hurts, but should Georgia Tech EVER be below Western Michigan in recruiting?  They do recruit for a system, though, and the system players usually suffer in the rankings.
  • #82 Boston College–sigh.  Only Kansas has a worse recruiting class among P5 schools.  Miami of Ohio has a better class.  But better than neighbors UConn and UMass.  And similar classes did not prevent BC from having a great defense.

What do you think?  Are you happy with your school’s class? Disappointed?  Dispute these RIVALS rankings?  Let us know.

2016 ACC Football: Games of the Week

The ACC released the football schedules for all schools earlier this week.  By now, fans have had their first thoughts on how positive and negative the specific schedule will be.  From an ACC fan perspective, the schedule analysis is broader–for example, what is the “must see” game of the week.  Here is the Confidential’s early prediction on what will be the games to watch each week:

  1. Week 1… with all due respect to Florida State and UNC, who are coming off great 2015 seasons, it was Clemson that carried the ACC in 2015 and the Tigers open Week 1 against Auburn.  If they can pull of that road win against a tough SEC foe, it will be a good omen.
  2. Week 2… with apologies to Virginia Tech and Syracuse/Louisville… Pitt hosting Penn State gets the nod.  These two Pennsylvania rivals have not faced each other often of late, but it will be ACC vs Big 10 in week 2.
  3. Week 3… no real contest here… if Louisville and Florida State are both 2-0 at this point, it will be all the more important to the Atlantic/ACC race.  And if either school has lost heading into this one, there could be desperation.
  4. Week 4… Duke vs. Notre Dame has historically been more interesting in basketball, but these are different times and the Blue Devils are quite competent.  They will give the Fighting Irish something to think about.
  5. Week 5…  a fair amount of good conference games, but the slight edge goes to Clemson-Louisville.  If Clemson is a top ranked team, the Cardinals will either be rolling or desperate.
  6. Week 6… Florida State traveling to Miami should be interesting.  Miami under a new coaching staff needs to start taking advantage of its talent.  An upset win over FSU would be a big momentum boost.
  7. Week 7… Virginia Tech and Syracuse used to play annually in the Big East.  While Frank Beamer coached all of those games for the Hokies, these two former rivals play as ACC foes in 2016, in the Dome, with Syracuse under a new coaching staff as well.
  8. Week 8… Speaking of new coaching staffs, Virginia has one as well.  In Week 8, rival North Carolina will come to Charlottesville.  Keep an eye on this one.
  9. Week 9… The biggest ACC game of the year in recent years has not been the conference championship game, but Clemson-FSU.  This year, Clemson will travel to Florida State.  Circle this one on your calendar for sure.
  10. Week 10… a difficult week to know which game will be the most important.  Will Clemson have looked past Syracuse in a post-FSU matchup?  Florida State has struggled at NC State recently.  Pitt-Miami is a Coastal clash, as is Georgia Tech-North Carolina.
  11. Week 11… with apologies to Duke-UNC, the Confidential ponders whether Pitt traveling to Clemson may feature the top teams in each division.
  12. Week 12… while many teams are slowing down to prepare for ACC/SEC rivalry games, a Northeast rivalry between BC and UConn will resume.  This game may feature less than 10 total points, but both schools detest each other.  Tune in.
  13. Week 13… of all the rivalry games, chances are that Florida State/Florida will be the best combination of high ranked teams and great teams.  South Carolina should struggle this year.

What do you think?  How do you rank the games of the week for each week?  Let us know.

ACC Bowl Game Contest: Final Results

Here are the bowl games winners:

  1. Clemson
  2. Houston
  3. Ohio State
  4. Baylor
  5. Mississippi State
  6. Duke
  7. Washington State
  8. Louisville
  9. Navy
  10. Virginia Tech
  11. Most Points: Virginia Tech
  12. Points: 55

With these finals, three entrants picked 7 out of 10: Commander, Brian Yacker, and Ben Niemann.

The first tiebreaker did not sort things, as nobody picked Virginia Tech to score the most.

The second tiebreaker HAD to sort things out though, as each team was required to pick the points scored by the ACC team that scored the most–WITHOUT GOING OVER.  This helped keep numbers lower.  Plus, everyone had to pick a different number for it to count.

Commander went with 41, Brian Yacker went with 45, and Ben Niemann went with 38.  Because Virginia Tech scored 55, Brian Yacker was the closest without going over and takes the tiebreaker win.

Brian–send an email to afc44enterprises@yahoo.com with your PayPal information.  We’ll get you the funds ASAP.  Not going to be able to quit your job with the winnings, but what the heck.  A win is a win.

Great job by everyone!

As a reminder, we have contests frequently.  We had the individual fantasy football league resolve in the fall, the survivor league also resolve in the fall.  Next up will likely be the Big Dance contest.  Happy New Year!

ACC Bowl Game Contest

UPDATE:

Here are the bowl games winners:

  1. Clemson
  2. Houston
  3. Ohio State
  4. Baylor
  5. Mississippi State
  6. Duke
  7. Washington State
  8. Louisville
  9. Navy
  10. Virginia Tech
  11. Most Points: Virginia Tech
  12. Points: 55

The Confidential is going to celebrate the bowl season for the ACC with a… CONTEST!   The prize will be a $20.00 Pay Pal payment.

Here are the games:

  1. #1 Clemson vs. #4 Oklahoma, National SemiFinal Game, December 31
  2. Florida State vs Houston, Peach Bowl, December 31
  3. Notre Dame vs Ohio State, Fiesta Bowl, Jan 1
  4. North Carolina vs Baylor, Citrus Bowl, December 29
  5. NC State vs Mississippi State, Belk Bowl, December 30
  6. Duke vs Indiana, Pinstripe Bowl, December 26
  7. Miami vs Washington St., Sun Bowl, December 26
  8. Louisville vs Texas A&M, Liberty Bowl, December 30
  9. Pitt vs Navy, Military Bowl, December 28
  10. Virginia Tech vs Tulsa, Independence Bowl, December 26
  11. TIEBREAKER 1: What ACC team will score the most points in their bowl game?
  12. TIEBREAKER 2: Without going over, how many points will that ACC team score?

What are the rules?  Pick the winner of each game and answer the two Tiebreaker questions.  Make sure your tiebreaker 2 answer is different than anyone else’s.  That’s all.

How do I enter?  Just put a comment below with your entry before midnight on December 25, 2015.

 

ACC Fantasy Football: Week 13 Recap & FINAL!

Thanks to all those who continue to participate in our weekly fantasy football league!  It was a free game.  The rules were here.   It is now over.

These are the results from Week 13–individual team results are located here in the comments section.  In any event, here is the week 13 recap:

As always, this is done by hand so the potential for error is there.  It is final in 48 hours.

RESULTS

With 9 entries, 4 teams get wins (bold), 4 teams get losses, and 1 team gets a tie (italic):

Josh V = 153.4 pts

Commander = 148.5 pts

MSU = 146.5 pts

Brian = 141.5 pts

HHuntley = 133.5 pts

Lenville = 129.3 points

Chrislords = 126.5 pts

ACwolfpacker = 107.5 pts

LD = 87.6 pts

 

FINAL STANDINGS AFTER WEEK 13:

  1. Commander 9-4; MSU Bulldog 9-4 (18pts)
  2. Accwolfpacker  7-4-2 (16 pts)
  3. LenvilleCards 6-4-2 (14 pts)
  4. LD 6-7  (12 pts)
  5. Brian 5-6-2 (12 pts)
  6. HHuntley17   4-7-2 (10 pts)
  7. Josh V  3-6-4 (10 pts)
  8. Chrislords  4-9 (8 pts)

Thus, we have a two-way tie between myself (Commander) and MSU Bulldog.  As a reminder, here are the tiebreakers:

The team with the best record after the week of November 28th is the winner.  If there are ties, they will be resolved by which team had the most wins.  Next, the team with the better record head-to-head all season.  If there is still a tie, most points on the season.  Beyond that, the prize is just split.  The Confidential does not flip coins or penalty kicks or any other lame tiebreakers.

The first tiebreaker–most wins… remains a tie.

The second tiebreaker–head-to-head record… is as follows:

  • Week 13: Commander wins
  • Week 12: MSU wins
  • Week 11: MSU wins
  • Week 10: MSU wins
  • Week 9: MSU wins
  • Week 8: MSU wins
  • Week 7: Commander wins
  • Week 6: Commander wins
  • Week 5: MSU wins
  • Week 4: Commander wins
  • Week 3: MSU wins
  • Week 2: Commander wins
  • Week 1: Commander wins

Thus, MSU has 7 weekly wins over Commander and wins the second tiebreaker!  Congrats to MSU Bulldogs!  Contact the Confidential on Twitter (acconfi) or via email @ afc44enterprises@yahoo.com to claim your prize via PayPal!

GREAT JOB BY EVERYONE!   Hope to see you all in 2016!

Happy Thanksgiving ACC-Style!

Once again, it is Thanksgiving… so Happy Thanksgiving ACC-fans!  May you all have a safe and enjoyable holiday weekend!  In honor of same, we are going to take a moment to guess what each ACC school is particularly thankful for on this 2015 edition of the Thanksgiving Holiday.  Please feel free to share your opinions on Twitter or by commenting below:

BOSTON COLLEGE: Thankful to have the Northeast market cornered, blocking a school like UConn–who has much more basketball success and even a BCS-bowl appearance.

CLEMSON: Dabo Swinney.  The guy has been a great coach, but primarily because he also changed the culture.  Nobody sincerely speaks of Clemsoning anymore.  You can credit Swinney for that.  And the Tigers sit very well heading into its rivalry game with South Carolina.

DUKE: Coach K.  Could there be any other answer?  For the past 30 or so years, Coach K has kept Duke front and center in basketball.  There are only so many coaching icons in the world… and Coach K is clearly one o them.  While someone off the Coach K coaching tree will likely do well, it will certainly not be AS good.  Be thankful.

FLORIDA STATE: Jameis Winston.  Jimbo Fisher is one o the best coaches in football and, by all accounts, a good man.  He led Florida State back to a championship, as well as a playoff appearance last year.  However, as you can see this year, a football team is only as good as its QB play.  Without Winston, Florida State has fallen back to the pack.  The whole roster shares credit for the Championship, and Fisher certainly does, but do not discount the impact that Winston had on that season.

GEORGIA TECH: This is a tough one, as the Yellow Jackets revenue teams are having a tough year (football) and tough stretch (basketball) recently.  Need some help!!!

LOUISVILLE: One word: Jurich.  This man oversaw the Cardinals rise to being an ACC member and huge contributor.  With top notch basketball and football, as well as the ability to bring in coaches, Louisville has a better athletic department overall than its in-state rival Kentucky.

MIAMI: Location, location, location.  While the job that Jim Larranaga is doing is second fiddle to the football team’s ups and downs among alumni, the fact that Miami sits within one of the best recruiting spots in the country will ensure that coaches will want to flock there.  Fans are nice, but talent wins games.  Miami needs a coach who will take advantage of the location.

NORTH CAROLINA: The mercy of the NCAA.  What Fedora is doing is amazing.  What Roy Williams has going on in hoops is impressive.  But North Carolina needs to be thankful for an NCAA that probably does not want to drop the hammer on the Tar Heels for its academic fraud issues.  Maybe it is not mercy, but something more.  But whatever it is, if the NCAA could do what it did to Penn State (rules be damned), it could do the same to North Carolina.

NORTH CAROLINA STATE: Like Georgia Tech, North Carolina State has been good, but not great.  There is not an iconic coach to point to right now.  But North Carolina State certainly does not embarrass itself.  So let’s give the nod to the athletic department, who ensures that NC State gets 4 wins every year before hitting conference play.  Too many other schools set their football team up for failure worrying about schedule strength.  Save that concern for the big boys.

NOTRE DAME: Brian Kelly.  But for history, Notre Dame would be just another program.  There are much better football programs right now.  But Notre Dame’s history still means something.  Still, Brian Kelly has Notre Dame swaggering right now in a way that his recent predecessors have not been able to.  The best recruiting classes are meaningless if you do not know how to use them.  Kelly knows how to coach.  And the Fighting Irish are in the playoff discussion because of it.

PITTSBURGH: Pat Narduzzi. The Panthers have had decent recruiting for several years now.  Only Narduzzi has taken Pittsburgh above the Birmingham Bowl-esque heights.  And in his first season.  And without all-ACC RB James Conner.  For all the talk of risky coaching changes and injuries, do not ignore what Narduzzi has done.

SYRACUSE: James Arthur Boeheim.   While Don McPherson, Marvin Graves, and Donovan McNabb have given Syracuse fans much to cheer about football-wise during his tenure, and the Carrier Dome has been a source of pride for the school and locals, it is Boeheim that gives people outside of Syracuse a reason to talk about Syracuse.  With a national championship, a few more final fours, and a long string of good-to-great seasons, things are always interesting when it comes to Syracuse hoops.  Be thankful.

VIRGINIA: Thomas Jefferson.  Why not?  Ok, let’s go with Bennett.  He has the hoops team playing very well… #1 seed well lately.  It is hard to be great in football and basketball, so enjoy success wherever it comes.

VIRGINIA TECH: Frank Beamer.  This man has run a good football team in the right way for a long, successful time.  The Hokies will make a good hire.  That man will have HUGE shoes to fill.  And history says that most of the time, such shoes do not end up being filled.

WAKE FOREST:  The ACC.  If Wake Forest was not in the ACC right now, it would be well on the outside of the P5 conferences. And if things ever shake up, Wake Forest will certainly be low on the desire list for conferences.  Be thankful for the ACC, Demon Deacons.

WHAT DO YOU THINK?  WHAT ARE YOU MOST THANKFUL ABOUT FOR YOUR SCHOOL?

 

ACC Expansion Options

With 14 teams, there is still room to add 2 teams… the right “2 teams” into the Atlantic Coast Conference.  This, of course, does not mean that expansion will be happening, much less any time soon.  This post will merely explore the teams that are out there and inquire, of you, what you would prefer to see.

The elephant in the room is Notre Dame.  The Fighting Irish do not want to join a conference.  We discussed yesterday that adding Navy/Notre Dame might be more palatable, as it would convert an OOC opponent into a conference opponent.  But the reality is that Notre Dame simply does not want to join a conference until it absolutely has to.  And many fans do not even deem being excluded from the playoffs such a circumstance.

Navy.  While Navy has a good location, it is not a needle-mover revenue-wise outside of luring Notre Dame. Therefore, adding Navy only happens if Notre Dame comes with them.  And who is to say that Navy even WANTS to be in a P5 conference?

West Virginia.  The Mountaineers are sitting happily in the Big XII.  That being said, adding West Virginia to the ACC would restore several rivalries, as well as some geographic common sense.  The Big XII has a grant-of-rights, so this is not likely to happen anytime soon.

UConn.  The Huskies are a basketball near-elite, even without Jim Calhoun and notwithstanding some tough years.  They are eager to join.  The problem is that they add little or nothing in football–the true revenue sport.  They also add little or nothing on the TV revenue side of things, as Boston College/Syracuse cover the Northeast areas already.  Unlike the above, they are certainly eager to join.

Cincinnati.  Like UConn, Cincinnati is eager to join.  The football has had more historical success and opens up a new market–even if a hugely distant second to Ohio State.  Ohio is also a fertile recruiting ground.  The hoops are not horrible.  They have an NFL stadium nearby to use for the big games.  Don’t rule it out.

Temple.  With historically good hoops, and historically poor football, this seems unlikely.  However, Philadelphia is a potential market to tap–even if Penn State and Pittsburgh generally dominate the state.  Like Cincinnati, Temple would have access to an NFL stadium for big games.  While the football team is perhaps most notable for being in the movie Unbreakable, they have had success with Golden and Ruhle.  Never say never.

Texas.  Ha ha ha.  Just kidding.  Although one might be able to convince Texas to accept a Notre Dame-esque 5-game schedule, it is difficult to envision Texas abandoning Texas Tech for such a membership.  Unless the Big XII is going to die, which is unlikely at this point, Texas need not make a move.

East Carolina.  The fifth North Carolina school finds itself in a similar boat as South Florida and Central Florida.  Just not enough “market” addition to justify adding in a good football school regardless of on-field performance.

Memphis.  The work done by the football team recently is notable, but the hoops has declined to offset any such gains.  There is just not enough here to justify an addition.

And then, of course, there is the “do nothing” option.  Why add any school and water down what is already there?  If ND or Texas are available as permanent members…listen.  But otherwise there is no need to make ANY move.

So here are the options… what do you think?

Imagine the ACC with Notre Dame and Navy

Once upon a time, the Confidential tossed around the idea of Navy as a suitable replacement for Maryland location-wise and as a partner with Notre Dame as the 15th and 16th teams.  Obviously, Notre Dame is not ready for a conference, but they might start inching closer if they are 11-1 and outside the playoffs.  The loss of a 13th game hurt the Big XII last year and could hurt Notre Dame this year–even with a win over Stanford.  While everyone thinks UConn as team #16, and the Confidential has always thought West Virginia made even better sense than UConn, Navy has its merits too.

Read more…

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