Advertisements

The Confidential

The ACC Sports Blog

Archive for the tag “Confidential”

The Confidential’s ACC Football Over-Unders: Recap.

Every year, the Confidential does over-unders for each ACC school, based solely on the regular season.  In 2014, we had 6 schools correctly pegged within 1/2 a win of their ultimate totals.  In 2015, we improved to 7 schools correctly pegged within a 1/2 a win of their ultimate total.  And now it is on to 2016.  Remember, these are regular season wins only.  No bowl games or playoffs.  Here is the final tally of the Confidential’s over-unders for 2016, as well as the final results/analysis:

Clemson: 11.5 wins.  CORRECT!  At 11-1, Clemson ended up within 1/2 a win of the Confidential’s projection.  And Clemson certainly could have beaten Pitt.  Of course, Clemson should have lost to NC State, Troy, or both.  It is what it is.

Notre Dame: 10.5 wins.  WOEFULLY INCORRECT.  At 4-8, Notre Dame blew a season with a weak schedule.  They lost to Texas (who fired its coach), Michigan State (down season), and Duke (down season), among others.  Just a horrible, terrible season.

Florida State: 9.5 wins.  CORRECT!  At 9-3, Florida State fell a bit short of the under, but this was always setting up to be a tough season for the Seminoles.  They did fine overall.

Miami: 8.5 wins.  CORRECT!  A streaky season for the Hurricanes, with blocks of 4 wins surrounding a block of four losses.

North Carolina: 8.5 wins.  CORRECT!  UNC fell one game short of its win total, like several of the above teams.  In fact, the ACC ended up fairly down by the end of the year.  However, it it was a decent OOC season and the ACC teams fared well in their SEC rivalry games (3-1) again.

Louisville: 7.5 wins.  INCORRECT!  Many folks criticized this one and perhaps deservedly so.  But Louisville losing to Kentucky should silence Cards fans for a while.

Virginia Tech: 7.5 wins.  INCORRECT!  Like Louisville, the Hokies did much better than expected at 9-3.

Pitt: 7.5 wins.   CORRECT!  Despite the difficult schedule, Pitt fared well at 8-4, including the sole win over Clemson so far.

Duke: 6.5 wins.  INCORRECT!   Duke finished at 4-8, well short of the estimated over-under.

North Carolina State: 5.5 wins.   CORRECT!  This one was correct heading into the surprise  victory over UNC, which pushed NC State into the “over” category.

Georgia Tech: 5.5 wins.  INCORRECT.  The Yellow Jackets did much better than expected with an 8-4 regular season.

Virginia: 5.5 wins.  INCORRECT!  Virginia only managed 2 wins.  On to 2017.

Boston College: 5.5 wins.  CORRECT!  BC had an easy OOC schedule and fared well.  Wins over NC State and Wake Forest gave the Eagles the “over.”

Syracuse: 4.5 wins.  CORRECT!  Losing to USF, Wake Forest, and NC State meant that Syracuse could not get the over, despite the Virginia Tech upset.

Wake Forest: 3.5 wins.  INCORRECT!  At 6-wins, the Demon Deacons went way over and are going bowling!

PRESEASON ANALYSIS: By far, the most controversial selection was Louisville at only 7.5 wins.  However, with road trips to Syracuse, Marshall, Virginia, Boston College, and Houston–it is asking a lot of the Cardinals to avoid tripping up against three of its four easiest conference games and two challenging OOC games.  Meanwhile, Florida State and Clemson remain on the schedule.  Notre Dame at 10.5 wins surprised some folks too, but look at who the Fighting Irish play and where.  In any event, it is what it is.  The Coastal, of course, is a mess.  Would any team winning it be a true surprise?  Meanwhile, the Atlantic has NC State, Boston College, Syracuse, and Wake Forest in a perpetual battle to avoid the cellar, it seems.

POSTSEASON ANALYSIS: Well, the Confidential edged up to 8 teams picked correctly (within 1/2 game of their final win total).  ND and Duke were the biggest disappointments (along with Virginia), while Wake Forest, Va Tech, Louisville, and Georgia Tech all did better than expected.  Louisville ended up handling its difficult road games, except Houston.  And they almost nipped Clemson.  Anyway, it is an improvement for the Confidential!

 

 

Advertisements

The Confidential’s ACC Football Over-Unders

Every year, the Confidential does over-unders for each ACC school, based solely on the regular season.  In 2014, we had 6 schools correctly pegged within 1/2 a win of their ultimate totals.  In 2015, we improved to 7 schools correctly pegged within a 1/2 a win of their ultimate total.  And now it is on to 2016.  Remember, these are regular season wins only.  No bowl games or playoffs.  Here is the final tally of the Confidential’s over-unders for 2016:

Clemson: 11.5 wins

Notre Dame: 10.5 wins

Florida State: 9.5 wins

Miami: 8.5 wins

North Carolina: 8.5 wins

Louisville: 7.5 wins

Virginia Tech: 7.5 wins

Pitt: 7.5 wins

Duke: 6.5 wins

North Carolina State: 5.5 wins

Georgia Tech: 5.5 wins

Virginia: 5.5 wins

Boston College: 5.5 wins

Syracuse: 4.5 wins

Wake Forest: 3.5 wins

By far, the most controversial selection was Louisville at only 7.5 wins.  However, with road trips to Syracuse, Marshall, Virginia, Boston College, and Houston–it is asking a lot of the Cardinals to avoid tripping up against three of its four easiest conference games and two challenging OOC games.  Meanwhile, Florida State and Clemson remain on the schedule.  Notre Dame at 10.5 wins surprised some folks too, but look at who the Fighting Irish play and where.  In any event, it is what it is.  The Coastal, of course, is a mess.  Would any team winning it be a true surprise?  Meanwhile, the Atlantic has NC State, Boston College, Syracuse, and Wake Forest in a perpetual battle to avoid the cellar, it seems.

What do you think?  Would you raise Louisville and Florida State?  Lower Notre Dame or Clemson?  How many over-unders do you think will end up within 1 game (i.e. 5.5 wins resulting in 5 or 6 wins)?

 

Keeping Up With the Over-Unders

Every year, the Confidential does over-unders for each ACC school, based solely on the regular season.  In 2014, we had 6 schools correctly pegged within 1/2 a win of their ultimate totals.  In 2015, we improved to 7 schools correctly pegged within a 1/2 a win of their ultimate total.  And now it is on to 2016.  Here is a running look at the Confidential’s over-unders for 2016:

Notre Dame: 10.5 wins

Florida State: 9.5 wins

Miami: 8.5 wins

Louisville: 7.5 wins

Virginia Tech: 7.5 wins

Pitt: 7.5 wins

North Carolina State: 5.5 wins

Virginia: 5.5 wins

Boston College: 5.5 wins

Syracuse: 4.5 wins

By far, the most controversial selection was Louisville at only 7.5 wins.  However, with road trips to Syracuse, Marshall, Virginia, Boston College, and Houston–it is asking a lot of the Cardinals to avoid tripping up against three of its four easiest conference games and two challenging OOC games.  Meanwhile, Florida State and Clemson remain on the schedule.  Notre Dame at 10.5 wins surprised some folks too, but look at who the Fighting Irish play and where.  In any event, it is what it is.

Still to come: Clemson, Duke, Georgia Tech, North Carolina, Wake Forest

The Confidential’s Bracket Contest: 2016

In what is now an annual tradition, the Confidential will have another bracket contest in 2016.

We will give out a first prize of $25.00 via Pay Pal to the winner (prizes will increase if/when number of entrants increases).

If you think you know basketball, and as a fan of the ACC you SHOULD know basketball, let’s see how well you can do against other fans of ACC schools.  Go here: https://tournament.fantasysports.yahoo.com/t1/invitation?g=85054&k=de8ccfea159f8be6&soc_trk=tw

Oh, and good luck.  You’ll need it.

 

ACC Fantasy Football: Week 13 Recap & FINAL!

Thanks to all those who continue to participate in our weekly fantasy football league!  It was a free game.  The rules were here.   It is now over.

These are the results from Week 13–individual team results are located here in the comments section.  In any event, here is the week 13 recap:

As always, this is done by hand so the potential for error is there.  It is final in 48 hours.

RESULTS

With 9 entries, 4 teams get wins (bold), 4 teams get losses, and 1 team gets a tie (italic):

Josh V = 153.4 pts

Commander = 148.5 pts

MSU = 146.5 pts

Brian = 141.5 pts

HHuntley = 133.5 pts

Lenville = 129.3 points

Chrislords = 126.5 pts

ACwolfpacker = 107.5 pts

LD = 87.6 pts

 

FINAL STANDINGS AFTER WEEK 13:

  1. Commander 9-4; MSU Bulldog 9-4 (18pts)
  2. Accwolfpacker  7-4-2 (16 pts)
  3. LenvilleCards 6-4-2 (14 pts)
  4. LD 6-7  (12 pts)
  5. Brian 5-6-2 (12 pts)
  6. HHuntley17   4-7-2 (10 pts)
  7. Josh V  3-6-4 (10 pts)
  8. Chrislords  4-9 (8 pts)

Thus, we have a two-way tie between myself (Commander) and MSU Bulldog.  As a reminder, here are the tiebreakers:

The team with the best record after the week of November 28th is the winner.  If there are ties, they will be resolved by which team had the most wins.  Next, the team with the better record head-to-head all season.  If there is still a tie, most points on the season.  Beyond that, the prize is just split.  The Confidential does not flip coins or penalty kicks or any other lame tiebreakers.

The first tiebreaker–most wins… remains a tie.

The second tiebreaker–head-to-head record… is as follows:

  • Week 13: Commander wins
  • Week 12: MSU wins
  • Week 11: MSU wins
  • Week 10: MSU wins
  • Week 9: MSU wins
  • Week 8: MSU wins
  • Week 7: Commander wins
  • Week 6: Commander wins
  • Week 5: MSU wins
  • Week 4: Commander wins
  • Week 3: MSU wins
  • Week 2: Commander wins
  • Week 1: Commander wins

Thus, MSU has 7 weekly wins over Commander and wins the second tiebreaker!  Congrats to MSU Bulldogs!  Contact the Confidential on Twitter (acconfi) or via email @ afc44enterprises@yahoo.com to claim your prize via PayPal!

GREAT JOB BY EVERYONE!   Hope to see you all in 2016!

Confidential Survivor League Update: Week 13

The Confidential’s Survivor Pool is now complete!  With 32 entrants, 16 were eliminated heading into the final week.  5 more were eliminated after Week 13, leaving 11 teams.  Congrats to 4 TIME CHAMPS-FINGERS CROSSED and INTOTHEMEATGRINDER who are the only teams without a loss yet.  The remaining teams have one loss.

Now, we head into the post-season and bowl season.  Good luck to all remaining teams (as I have been eliminated).

Standings:

No User Name Wk4 Wk1 Wk2 Wk3 Wk4 Wk5 Wk6 Wk7 Wk8 Wk9 Wk10 Wk11 Wk12
1 4 TIME CHAMPS- GT DUKE NCST LOU FSU ND VIRG UNC CLEM MIA
LOU
ND
FSU
NCST
CLEM
UNC
2 INTOTHEMEAT WF BC VIRG LOU FSU DUKE CLEM UNC ND NCST
LOU
CLEM
FSU
ND
UNC
DUKE
3 BCEAGLE74 WF BC NCST ND FSU DUKE UNC LOU CLEM MIA
CLEM
ND
FSU
NCST
PITT
UNC
4 CLEMSON82 SYR DUKE VIRG NCST FSU BC UNC PITT LOU ND
CLEM
LOU
CLEM
ND
DUKE
VTC
5 LD17 SYR BC VIRG LOU FSU DUKE UNC NCST GT MIA
ND
LOU
FSU
NCST
CLEM
DUKE
6 LENVILLECARDS WF DUKE VIRG UNC VTC ND CLEM LOU FSU NCST
LOU
ND
FSU
CLEM
DUKE
UNC
7 MADCADDIES6 GT BC VIRG ND FSU PITT UNC LOU DUKE CLEM
LOU
ND
FSU
CLEM
DUKE
VTC
8 MSU_DAWGS02 WF PITT VIRG UNC FSU DUKE CLEM LOU GT MIA
ND
FSU
CLEM
ND
UNC
DUKE
9 SUATO92 SYR BC WF ND FSU DUKE UNC LOU CLEM MIA
CLEM
ND
UNC
FSU
PITT
DUKE
10 TWOHOOS WF BC VIRG LOU GT DUKE UNC NCST FSU ND
CLEM
ND
FSU
NCST
DUKE
LOU
11 UOFL223 GT SYR NCST LOU FSU DUKE UNC PITT CLEM MIA
LOU
ND
NCST
CLEM
BC
UNC

 

ACC Fantasy Football: Week 12 Recap!

Thanks to all those who continue to participate in our weekly fantasy football league!  It is a free game.  There is a prize on a season-long basis.  The rules are here.   Feel free to enter the season-long game.  These are the results from Week 12–individual team results are located here in the comments section.  In any event, here is the week 12 recap:

As always, this is done by hand so the potential for error is there.  It is final in 48 hours.

RESULTS

With 9 entries, 4 teams get wins (bold), 4 teams get losses, and 1 team gets a tie (italic):

MSU = 131.5 pts

Brian = 129.5 pts

Chrislords = 126.5 pts

Commander = 122.5 pts

ACwolfpacker = 114.4 pts

LD = 102.0 pts

Josh V = 101.3 pts

HHuntley = 90.9 pts

Lenville = 80.6 points

 

STANDINGS AFTER WEEK 12:

  1. Commander 8-4; MSU Bulldog 8-4 (16 pts)
  2. Accwolfpacker  7-3-2 (16 pts)
  3. LenvilleCards 6-4-2 (14 pts)
  4. LD 6-6  (12 pts)
  5. Brian 4-6-2 (10 pts)
  6. HHuntley17   4-7-1 (9 pts)
  7. Chrislords  4-8 (8 pts)
  8. Josh V  2-6-4 (8 pts)

Wow… three way tie for first place right now!   And Commander/MSU edged ahead of ACCWolfpacker… the first time in a long time that there is a new #1.  As a reminder, here are the tiebreakers:

The team with the best record after the week of November 28th is the winner.  If there are ties, they will be resolved by which team had the most wins.  Next, the team with the better record head-to-head all season.  If there is still a tie, most points on the season.  Beyond that, the prize is just split.  The Confidential does not flip coins or penalty kicks or any other lame tiebreakers.

GREAT JOB BY EVERYONE!   On to Week 13….

ACC Fantasy Football: Week 11Recap!

Thanks to all those who continue to participate in our weekly fantasy football league!  It is a free game.  There is a prize on a season-long basis.  The rules are here.   Feel free to enter the season-long game.  These are the results from Week 11–individual team results are located here in the comments section.  In any event, here is the week 10 recap:

As always, this is done by hand so the potential for error is there.  It is final in 48 hours.

RESULTS

With 9 entries, 4 teams get wins (bold), 4 teams get losses, and 1 team gets a tie (italic):

MSU = 139.9 pts

Chrislords = 138.9 pts

HHuntley = 127.4 pts

Commander = 112.9 pts

Josh V = 110.9 pts

LD = 110.1 pts

ACwolfpacker = 107.8 pts

Lenville = 105.0 points

Brian = 89.0 pts

 

STANDINGS AFTER WEEK 11:

  1. Accwolfpacker  7-3-1 (15 pts–in a hypothetical 2 pts per win, 1 pt per tie format)
  2. Commander 7-4; MSU Bulldog 7-4 (14 pts)
  3. LenvilleCards 6-3-2 (14 pts)
  4. LD 6-5  (12 pts)
  5. HHuntley17   4-6-1 (9 pts)
  6. Brian 3-6-2 (8 pts)
  7. Josh V  2-5-4 (8 pts)
  8. Chrislords  3-8 (6 pts)

With two weeks left, the top 4 are separated by one point!  And LD is only 3 points out of first place.  Going to go down to the wire obviously…

GREAT JOB BY EVERYONE!   On to Week 12….

Confidential Survivor League Update Week 11

The Confidential runs two fantasy football leagues each year… an individual player league (see here) and a double-elimination survivor league.  We are down to 16teams, as a few entrants decided to go against the grain and pick upsets THIS week.   All 16 teams remaining went with one of FSU, ND, Clemson, or Louisville.  Next week should be interesting with a lot of close matchups.

Survivor Pool Standings and Poolwide Picks

No User Name Wk4 Wk1 Wk2 Wk3 Wk4 Wk5 Wk6 Wk7 Wk8 Wk9 Wk10
1 4 TIME DUKE NCST LOU FSU ND VIRG UNC CLEM MIA
LOU
ND
2 BCEAGLE74 WF BC NCST ND FSU DUKE UNC LOU CLEM MIA
CLEM
ND
3 INTOTH WF BC VIRG LOU FSU DUKE CLEM UNC ND NCST
LOU
CLEM
4 SUATO92 SYR BC WF ND FSU DUKE UNC LOU CLEM MIA
CLEM
ND
5 UOFL223 GT SYR NCST LOU FSU DUKE UNC PITT CLEM MIA
LOU
ND
6 ACAFFREY NCST BC VIRG LOU FSU DUKE UNC SYR CLEM ND
CLEM
LOU
7 CLEMSON82 SYR DUKE VIRG NCST FSU BC UNC PITT LOU ND
CLEM
LOU
8 HHUNTLEY17 BC VTC VIRG UNC FSU DUKE CLEM LOU GT ND
ND
LOU
9 LD17 SYR BC VIRG LOU FSU DUKE UNC NCST GT MIA
ND
LOU
10 LENVILLEC WF DUKE VIRG UNC VTC ND CLEM LOU FSU NCST
LOU
ND
11 MADCADDI GT BC VIRG ND FSU PITT UNC LOU DUKE CLEM
LOU
ND
12 MSU_DAW WF PITT VIRG UNC FSU DUKE CLEM LOU GT MIA
ND
FSU
13 RIGHT PRO WF BC UNC LOU FSU DUKE VIRG PITT GT MIA
LOU
ND
14 SNATCH AD PITT NCST SYR VTC FSU ND CLEM DUKE LOU UNC
ND
FSU
15 TWOHOOS WF BC VIRG LOU GT DUKE UNC NCST FSU ND
CLEM
ND
16 WAHOO 88 SYR BC VIRG UNC GT DUKE CLEM NCST FSU MIA
LOU
ND

ACC Fantasy Football: Week 10 Recap!

Thanks to all those who continue to participate in our weekly fantasy football league!  It is a free game.  There is a prize on a season-long basis.  The rules are here.   Feel free to enter the season-long game.  These are the results from Week 10–individual team results are located here in the comments section.  In any event, here is the week 10 recap:

As always, this is done by hand so the potential for error is there.  It is final in 48 hours.

RESULTS

With 9 entries, 4 teams get wins (bold), 4 teams get losses, and 1 team gets a tie (italic):

Josh V = 153.1 pts

MSU = 140.4 pts

Chrislords = 139.9 pts

LD = 139.0 pts

Lenville = 124.6 points

ACwolfpacker = 117.2 pts

Brian = 103.2 pts

Commander = 92.6 pts

HHuntley = 69.6 pts

STANDINGS AFTER WEEK 9:

  1. Accwolfpacker  7-2-1 (15 pts–in a hypothetical 2 pts per win, 1 pt per tie format))
  2. LenvilleCards 6-2-2 (14 pts)
  3. Commander 6-4; LD  6-4 & MSU Bulldog 6-4 (10 pts)
  4. Brian 3-5-2 (8 pts)
  5. HHuntley17   3-6-1 (7 pts)
  6. Josh V  2-5-3 (7 pts)
  7. Chrislords  2-8 (4 pts)

Commander screwed himself again without a QB, but it likely would not have made a difference.  How about Josh V and Chrislords playing the spoiler super effectively, with Lenville narrowing the ACCWoldpacker lead down to a win/tie differential?  3-way tie for 3rd place… with three weeks left!

GREAT JOB BY EVERYONE!   On to Week 11….

Post Navigation

%d bloggers like this: