The Confidential

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17 Jul 2015
8 Comments

The Football Over-Unders for 2015: Notre Dame

This article is another in a series of articles in which the Confidential opines regarding the over/under for football wins in 2015.  We’ll take a cursory look at the schedule and determine what we think is the point where folks will struggle to select “over” or “under.”  We hope people will share their comments as to “why” they are going over/under.  If you disagree with our over/under choice, of course, feel free to let us know too.  The next team up: Notre Dame.  We are going with an over/under of 9.5 regular season wins.

  1. September 5 vs Texas
  2. September 12 @ Virginia
  3. September 19 vs Georgia Tech
  4. September 26 vs UMass
  5. October 3 @ Clemson
  6. October 10 vs Navy
  7. October 17 vs. Southern Cal
  8. October 31 @ Temple
  9. November 7 @ Pittsburgh
  10. November 14 vs Wake Forest
  11. November 21 @ Boston College (Fenway)
  12. November 28 @ Stanford

Likely losses: @ Clemson, @ Stanford

Likely wins: Texas, @ Virginia, UMass, Navy, @ Temple, Wake Forest

Summary:  Notre Dame’s schedule is not TOO awful this year from a difficulty standpoint.  Unlike the full-time ACC schools, Notre Dame has several winnable games OOC–UMass, Navy, Temple.  Then, games against Wake Forest and @ Virginia look interesting.  The opener against Texas should go the Irish’s way too.  So that’s 6 wins.  Can the Irish win 4 of the remaining 6? Probably.  But note how the second half gets much tougher, with road trips to Temple, Pitt, BC, and Stanford.  We see loses to Clemson, Stanford, and at least one other team… with one more game being the swing.  The Confidential goes with an over-under of 9.5 wins.

What do you think?  Over or under?  Let us know.

Prior discussions: Florida State Georgia Tech Wake Forest Pitt Virginia Virginia Tech Louisville Miami Notre Dame

Posted by acaffrey in Football, Over/Under, Poll, Predictions and tagged , , , , , ,
14 Jul 2015
10 Comments

The Football Over-Unders for 2015: Miami

This article is another in a series of articles in which the Confidential opines regarding the over/under for football wins in 2015.  We’ll take a cursory look at the schedule and determine what we think is the point where folks will struggle to select “over” or “under.”  We hope people will share their comments as to “why” they are going over/under.  If you disagree with our over/under choice, of course, feel free to let us know too.  The next team up: Miami.  We are going with an over/under of 6.5 regular season wins.

  1. September 5 vs Bethune-Cookman
  2. September 11 @ Florida Atlantic
  3. September 19 vs Nebraska
  4. October 1 @ Cincinnati
  5. October 10 @ Florida State
  6. October 17 vs. Virginia Tech
  7. October 24 vs. Clemson
  8. October 31 @ Duke
  9. November 7 vs Virginia
  10. November 14 @ North Carolina
  11. November 21 vs Georgia Tech
  12. November 28 @ Pittsburgh

Likely losses: Florida State, Nebraska or Clemson,

Likely wins: Bethune-Cookman, Florida Atlantic

Summary:  Louisville’s schedule is tough, but Miami’s might be tougher.  OOC road games against Florida Atlantic and Cincinnati, sandwiched around a home game against Nebraska.  Then, the first four conference games are @ FSU, Virginia Tech, Clemson, and @ Duke.  Only 6 home games overall.  This is a very tough schedule for Miami–even with the promising offense.  Assume a 2-0 start–do you see 5 wins the rest of the way?  UNC, Duke, and Pitt are winnable–but on the road.  The Confidential goes with an over-under of 6.5 wins.

What do you think?  Over or under?  Let us know.

Prior discussions: Florida State Georgia Tech Wake Forest Pitt Virginia Virginia Tech Louisville

Posted by acaffrey in Football, Over/Under, Poll, Predictions and tagged , , , , , ,
13 Jul 2015
13 Comments

The Football Over-Unders for 2015: Louisville

This article is another in a series of articles in which the Confidential opines regarding the over/under for football wins in 2015.  We’ll take a cursory look at the schedule and determine what we think is the point where folks will struggle to select “over” or “under.”  We hope people will share their comments as to “why” they are going over/under.  If you disagree with our over/under choice, of course, feel free to let us know too.  The next team up: Louisville.  We are going with an over/under of 9.5 regular season wins.

  1. September 5 vs Auburn (Atlanta, GA)
  2. September 12 vs Houston
  3. September 17 vs Clemson
  4. September 25 vs Samford
  5. October 3 @ NC State
  6. October 17 @ Florida State
  7. October 24 vs. Boston College
  8. October 30 @ Wake Forest
  9. November 7 vs Syracuse
  10. November 14 vs. Virginia
  11. November 21 @ Pittsburgh
  12. November 28 @ Kentucky

Likely losses: Auburn, @Florida State

Likely wins: Samford, @ Kentucky, Syracuse, @ Wake Forest

Summary:  Could you imagine if Louisville beats both Auburn and Clemson in the first three weeks of the season?  It would be difficult to envision Louisville not being in the top 5.  This is a fairly difficult schedule, as trips to NC State and Florida State also loom in the first six weeks.  If Louisville is 3-3, they can still get back to 9-3 by sweeping the second-half.  If Louisville is 4-2, then 10-2 is the upside.  The heart may say wins over Auburn, Florida State, and Clemson.  The brain says two out of those three are losses… or two are wins and then a surprise loss elsewhere.  The Confidential goes with an over-under of 9.5 wins.

What do you think?  Over or under?  Let us know.

Prior discussions: Florida State Georgia Tech Wake Forest Pitt Virginia Virginia Tech

Posted by acaffrey in Football, Over/Under, Poll, Predictions and tagged , , , , , ,
12 Jul 2015
11 Comments

The Football Over-Unders for 2015: Virginia Tech

This article is another in a series of articles in which the Confidential opines regarding the over/under for football wins in 2015.  We’ll take a cursory look at the schedule and determine what we think is the point where folks will struggle to select “over” or “under.”  We hope people will share their comments as to “why” they are going over/under.  If you disagree with our over/under choice, of course, feel free to let us know too.  The next team up: Virginia Tech.  We are going with an over/under of 6.5 regular season wins.

  1. September 7 vs Ohio State
  2. September 12 vs Furman
  3. September 19 @ Purdue
  4. September 25 @ East Carolina
  5. October 3 vs Pittsburgh
  6. October 9 vs North Carolina State
  7. October 17 @ Miami
  8. October 24 vs. Duke
  9. October 31 @ Boston College
  10. November 12 @. Georgia Tech
  11. November 21 vs. North Carolina
  12. November 28 @Virginia

Likely losses: Ohio State

Likely wins: Furman, @ Purdue

Summary: Virginia Tech has a decent OOC slate, with Ohio State, Purdue, and East Carolina, the latter two coming on the road.  It is not difficult to envision a 2-2 start for the Hokies.  The Coastal is its typical self–who knows?  We do know that Va Tech avoided Florida State, Clemson, and Louisville in cross-divisional games.  The Confidential goes with an over-under of 6.5 wins.

What do you think?  Over or under?  Let us know.

Prior discussions: Florida State Georgia Tech Wake Forest Pitt Virginia

Posted by acaffrey in Football, Over/Under, Poll, Predictions and tagged , , , , ,
10 Jul 2015
13 Comments

The Football Over-Unders for 2015: Virginia

This article is another in a series of articles in which the Confidential opines regarding the over/under for football wins in 2015.  We’ll take a cursory look at the schedule and determine what we think is the point where folks will struggle to select “over” or “under.”  We hope people will share their comments as to “why” they are going over/under.  If you disagree with our over/under choice, of course, feel free to let us know too.  The next team up: Virginia.  We are going with an over/under of 4.5 regular season wins.

  1. September 5 at UCLA
  2. September 12 vs Notre Dame
  3. September 19 vs. William and Mary
  4. September 25 3 vs Boise State
  5. October 10 @ Pittsburgh
  6. October 17 vs Syracuse
  7. October 24 @ North Carolina
  8. October 31 vs. Georgia Tech
  9. November 7 @ Miami
  10. November 14 @ Louisville
  11. November 21 vs. Duke
  12. November 28 vs Virginia Tech

Likely losses: UCLA, Notre Dame, Boise State, and Louisville

Likely wins: William & Mary

Summary: In a make or break year for head coach Mike London, Virginia faces as tough a schedule as anyone in the country out-of-conference.  On the other hand, the Wahoos avoided Florida State and Clemson in the crossover conference game.  Every Coastal game is a toss up, as always.  Syracuse is very winnable, but the Orange will be better.  Louisville is very losable, but did that matter much last year?  The Confidential goes with an over-under of 4.5 wins.

What do you think?  Over or under?  Let us know.

Prior discussions: Florida State Georgia Tech Wake Forest Pitt

Posted by acaffrey in Football, Over/Under, Poll, Predictions and tagged , , , , , , ,
19 Jun 2015
5 Comments

The Football Over-Unders for 2015: Pitt

This article is another in a series of articles in which the Confidential opines regarding the over/under for football wins in 2015.  We’ll take a cursory look at the schedule and determine what we think is the point where folks will struggle to select “over” or “under.”  We hope people will share their comments as to “why” they are going over/under.  If you disagree with our over/under choice, of course, feel free to let us know too.  The next team up: Pitt.  We are going with an over/under of 6.5 regular season wins.

  1. September 5 vs. Youngstown St
  2. September 12 @ Akron
  3. September 19 @ Iowa
  4. October 3 @ Virginia Tech
  5. October 10 vs Virginia
  6. October 17 @ Georgia Tech
  7. October 24 @ Syracuse
  8. October 29 vs. North Carolina
  9. November 7 vs. Notre Dame
  10. November 14 @ Duke
  11. November 21 vs. Louisville
  12. November 28 vs Miami

Likely wins: Youngstown St. and Akron

Likely losses: @ Iowa and Notre Dame

Summary: Pitt is really tough to figure out.  They have been upset by FCS teams in the past, making Youngstown State and Akron (road game) less than certain.  Meanwhile, the remain games are pretty much all contests where there would be no surprising result.  Would you be shocked if Pitt beat Iowa and Notre Dame, but lost to Syracuse and Virginia?  Nope.  Would any combination of wins/losses be a true surprise?  No.  So we say Pitt goes 2-0 to open the season and then it is a crapshoot as to whether and to what extent Pitt gets more or less than 6.5 wins.  The Confidential goes with an over-under of 6.5 wins.

What do you think?  Over or under?  Let us know.

Prior discussions: Florida State Georgia Tech Wake Forest

 

Posted by acaffrey in Football, Over/Under, Poll, Predictions and tagged , , , , , ,
17 Jun 2015
7 Comments

The Football Over-Unders for 2015: Wake Forest

This article is another in a series of articles in which the Confidential opines regarding the over/under for football wins in 2015.  We’ll take a cursory look at the schedule and determine what we think is the point where folks will struggle to select “over” or “under.”  We hope people will share their comments as to “why” they are going over/under.  If you disagree with our over/under choice, of course, feel free to let us know too.  The next team up: Wake Forest.  We are going with an over/under of 3.5 regular season wins.

  1. September 3 vs. Elon
  2. September 12 @ Syracuse
  3. September 19 @Army
  4. September 26 vs. Indiana
  5. October 3 vs. Florida State
  6. October 10 @ Boston College
  7. October 17 @ North Carolina
  8. October 24 vs. North Carolina State
  9. October 30 vs. Louisville
  10. November 14 @ Notre Dame
  11. November 21 @ Clemson
  12. November 28 vs. Duke

Likely wins: Elon, Army, Indiana

Likely losses: @ Notre Dame, @ Clemson, Florida State, Louisville

Summary: Wake Forest walks into the season with two or three likely wins and at least four likely losses.  That leaves five toss-up games: @ Syracuse, @ Boston College, @ North Carolina, vs. North Carolina State, and vs. Duke.  Would it shock you to see Wake Forest lose all of those games?  Not really.  The Demon Deacons have a ways to go.  It is nice that they get to play all of the North Carolina schools this year though.  The Confidential goes with an over-under of 3.5 wins.

What do you think?  Over or under?  Let us know.

Prior discussions: Florida State & Georgia Tech

 

Posted by acaffrey in Football, Over/Under, Poll, Predictions and tagged , , , , ,
16 Jun 2015
9 Comments

The Football Over-Unders for 2015: Georgia Tech

This article is another in a series of articles in which the Confidential opines regarding the over/under for football wins in 2015.  We’ll take a cursory look at the schedule and determine what we think is the point where folks will struggle to select “over” or “under.”  We hope people will share their comments as to “why” they are going over/under.  If you disagree with our over/under choice, of course, feel free to let us know too.  The next team up: Georgia Tech.  We are going with an over/under of 8.5 regular season wins.

  1. September 3 vs. Alcorn State
  2. September 12 vs Tulane
  3. September 19 @ Notre Dame
  4. September 26 @ Duke
  5. October 3 vs. North Carolina
  6. October 10 @ Clemson
  7. October 17 vs. Pitt
  8. October 24 vs. Florida State
  9. October 31 @ Virginia
  10. November 12 vs. Virginia Tech
  11. November 21 @Miami
  12. November 28 vs. Georgia

Likely wins: Alcorn State, Tulane, North Carolina

Likely losses: @ Notre Dame, @ Clemson, Florida State

Summary: Georgia Tech has a very tough schedule.  After Alcorn State and Tulane, where is the next “easy” win?  Virginia?  That is away.  By default, it could be the home game against North Carolina.  The other 8 games?  How about a road slate of Notre Dame, Duke, Clemson, and Miami… got to be tow losses there.  And what about the final four home games?  Pitt, Florida State, Virginia Tech, and Georgia.  Are two more losses that improbable.  We see the Yellow Jackets falling all the way down to an over/under of 8.5 regular season wins.

What do you think?  Over or under?  Let us know.

Prior discussions: Florida State.

Posted by acaffrey in Football, Over/Under, Poll, Predictions and tagged , , , , , ,
15 Jun 2015
12 Comments

The Football Over-Unders for 2015: Florida State

This article is the first in a series of articles in which the Confidential opines regarding the over/under for football wins in 2015.  We’ll take a cursory look at the schedule and determine what we think is the point where folks will struggle to select “over” or “under.”  We hope people will share their comments as to “why” they are going over/under.  If you disagree with our over/under choice, of course, feel free to let us know too.  The first team up: Florida State.  We are going with an over/under of 10.5 regular season wins.

  1. September 5 vs. Texas State
  2. September 12 vs. South Florida
  3. September 18 @ Boston College
  4. October 3 @ Wake Forest
  5. October 10 vs. Miami
  6. October 17 vs. Louisville
  7. October 24 @ Georgia Tech
  8. October 31 vs. Syracuse
  9. November 7 @ Clemson
  10. November 14 vs. NC State
  11. November 21 vs. Chattanooga
  12. November 28 @ Florida

Summary: Florida State is hard this year.  This team could go 12-0 and nobody would be shocked. However, after losing Winston and a second-straight set of studs to the NFL, the Seminoles are bound to take a step back.  Whether that is a step back to 11 wins or 8 wins is anybody’s guess.  Look, Wake Forest upset them a few years back.  Boston College has played them tough recently.  Syracuse and North Carolina State hung on for way too long last year.  With road games at Clemson, Georgia Tech, and Florida–as well as tough home games against Miami and Louisville, the Confidential sees one or two losses.  And if that is a rebuilding year, then Jimbo Fisher is doing a great job in Tallahassee.  The Confidential goes with an over/under of 10.5 for the Seminoles.

What do you think?  Over or under?  Let us know.

 

Posted by acaffrey in Football, Over/Under, Poll, Predictions and tagged , , , , , , ,
07 Apr 2015
31 Comments

Three Divisions for ACC Football?

With the likely elimination of the strict championship game rules, the table is set for the ACC to go way out of its way to make football more competitive.  In fact, one option is to go to three divisions.  From there, the two best teams could play for the ACC Championship.  The  Confidential loves this idea.  First, it paves the way for ND football to be more intertwined with ACC football.  Second, it increases the likelihood that the two best ACC teams play for the right to move on to the playoffs.  Here are the Confidential’s other thoughts…

Read more…

Posted by acaffrey in ACC only, Football and tagged , , ,

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