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The Confidential’s 2016 Football Over-Under: North Carolina State

Last year, the Confidential unveiled over-unders for each ACC school.  For North Carolina State, the over-under was set at 7.5 regular season wins.  Ultimately, NC State ended up with 7 regular season wins, bolstered by four easy out-of-conference games scheduled.  But now it is on to 2016.  The Confidential sets the over-under for NC State at 5.5 regular season wins.

Here is the schedule for 2016, courtesy of a great football site:

9/1 Thu vs. William & Mary
9/10 Sat @ East Carolina
9/17 Sat vs. Old Dominion
10/1 Sat vs. *Wake Forest
10/8 Sat vs. Notre Dame
10/15 Sat @ *Clemson
10/22 Sat @ *Louisville
10/29 Sat vs. *Boston College
11/5 Sat vs. *Florida State
11/12 Sat @ *Syracuse
11/19 Sat vs. *Miami (Florida)
11/25 Fri @ *North Carolina

Very likely wins: William & Mary, Old Dominion, one of Boston College or Wake Forest

Very likely losses: Notre Dame, @ Clemson, Florida State

Verdict: Last year’s out-of-conference schedule for North Carolina State was pathetically easy.  This year, there is a slight uptick.  Of course, with the forced game against Notre Dame, it was the ACC, rather than the school, making the change.  At the same time, East Carolina will be a self-inflicted challenge.  Ask Virginia Tech.  So this is a definite increase in scheduling difficulty.  Within the conference, the Wolfpack have it very tough also, with road trips to North Carolina, Syracuse, and Louisville within the toss-up games.  With only six toss-ups, and three very likely losses, it is not hard to see NC State taking a step back from its 7 win season.  In fact, this much tougher schedule could mean a few steps back, including potentially missing a bowl.  The Confidential goes with an over-under at that mark–5.5 wins.

What do you think?  Will NC State go over or under 5.5 regular season wins?



GottfriedWith the news last week that NC State would lose 3 of their key players from this past season, the tactics of coach Mark Gottfried were once again called into question. It’s become a pattern now. Every year, the team finishes better than expected with one player leading the way, but it’s the exodus of talent that follows causes fans to pause. Why are so many players leaving, year after year? Let’s take a look at the roster turnover in the Gottfried era

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Gottfried’s first season in Raleigh left nothing but high expectations for the next one. A young team that certainly overachieved lost very little headed to the next season. CJ Williams graduated, but the duo of Brown and Leslie looked promising to the next season. Raymond and Harris played very few minutes, so their transfers aren’t a huge deal, but Painter’s departure was curious. He quickly announced that he was transferring to be closer to his family, but that did little to stop the speculation that followed. It still seems like a legitimate reason, but skeptics will point to this being the beginning of a trend

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The second year is what many point to when they criticize Gottfried. For perhaps the only time in his career at NC State, he actually had all the pieces. He had a deep roster with plenty of talent, but yet suffered an early exit from the NCAA tournament. Losing an 8/9 game usually isn’t too disappointing, but the way this team ended the season left many wanting more. The disappointing season and disfunction among the team made the draft announcements from Brown and Leslie a little less surprising. The bigger surprise came from Rodney Purvis when he announced he was going to UConn. The freshman probably didn’t play as much as he would have liked, but you would assume with six players leaving he could expect more playing time in the future. Thaey’s transfer is a whole other issue, one that Sports Illustrated already covered. Still, each of the three early departures were out of the blue and leaving fans  confused.

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The cupboard looked pretty bare with Brown and Leslie gone, but T.J. Warren quickly changed fans’ perception of the team. Warren was no slouch his freshman year, but as he moved into his role as the Wolfpack’s star player, he showed his true potential. Of course, that got the NBA interested, and to Warren’s credit, he’s made a solid pro career to this point. The transfer to Tyler Lewis to Butler was also understandable, as the sophomore saw fewer and fewer minutes as Anthony “Cat” Barber blossomed into the star point guard he would become in years after. Overall this year was probably the least surprising of any. Sure the two departures were a bit sudden, but both seemed reasonable.

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Alabama transfer Trevor Lacey was the supposed to be the key addition and the shooter that NC State needed. He turned out to be all of that and more. Essentially, Lacey became TJ Warren part 2. His similar playing style gave him a similar role on the team. Barber and Anya found their roles, and other players like Lee, Turner, and the Martins contributed for a deep run in the NCAA tournament. Next year seemed promising, with most of the talent returning. Yet, Lacey quickly declared for the draft and soon after, Kyle Washington transferred to Cincinnati. Both were unexpected, and while the verdict is still out on Washington, Lacey hasn’t made  much of his pro career.

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A down recruiting year along with the late departures of Lacey and Washington left NC State with just 12 players on the roster. This will probably be considered the worst team of the Gottfried era, since they didn’t make any tournament and finished very low in the ACC. However, the one bright spot was Cat Barber. One year removed from being a supporting member, Barber took over the ACC as one of the conference’s top players. With little support, the team didn’t win many games. After the season ended, Barber announced he would enter the draft and while he hasn’t singed an agent, sources indicate that he’s likely gone. It’s a little puzzling, seeing as Barber would likely be a frontrunner for ACC Player of the Year, but he’s likely taking a cue from his former teammates (Warren and Lacey). Shortly after that announcement, news came that the Martin twins intended to transfer. This was the strange announcement. Most reports say that Cody was going to see less playing time due to incoming transfers, and wanted to find somewhere where both brothers could play. Still, you’d think they’d at least wait a year to see how their playing time is effected. The new transfers are anything but sure things, and it’s quite possible both brother could’ve seen lots of minutes. Abdul-Malik Abu is also reported to be exploring his draft options, but most feel that he will return.

Final Thoughts

So where does this leave us? Well, throughout Mark Gottfried’s tenure at NC State, we’ve seen a troubling trend of top talent leaving early. It’s sort of a “glass half empty/full” situation. On the bright side, Gottfried has been exceptional at replacing talent and bringing in new stars. The fact that there is a new star each year is impressive, and a testament to his recruiting ability. On the other hand, why are these players in such a hurry to get out? If any of the players had stayed just one more year, they’d be paired with another star to make an exceptional team. But maybe it’s a good thing, maybe Barber would have taken points away from Lacey. We’ll never know, but it’s clear that Gottfried can bring talent in, but can’t seem to hold on to it. Next year will be a very pivotal year. If the newcomers are as good as advertised and the team makes another tournament run, then we can revisit if this “strategy” is working. If these newcomers struggle, then you have to start questioning whether Gottfried is the right man for the job. What are your thoughts? Is this just another example of one-and-done’s hurting the college games? Why are so many NC State players leaving?

NC State Give Clemson a Scare on Halloween

Fans of NC State know the recipe all too well: a lackluster NC State team hosts a nationally ranked team at home and somehow pulls off the upset. It’s happened plenty of times before, and it almost happened on Saturday, but the wheels fell off and Clemson escaped with the win.

Game Recap

This game started off at breakneck pace with four scores in the first four drives. What’s more, each team had an extra point blocked and the score was 13-13. The first drive without a score came when Brissett fumbled on a sack. Clemson was held to a field goal in a nice goal line stand by the Wolfpack. NC State was forced to punt on the next drive, but again were kept to a field goal. It looked like the game was getting away, but a risky play gave the Wolfpack a 20-19 lead. On a 3rd and 1, Brissett found Samuels on the pass for a 40yd touchdown.


After finally getting a stop on defense, the team looked to improve on their lead. The Wolfpack marched all the way down the field, but missed a field goal. Flashes of the Troy game came back to fans as Clemson threw a hail mary and scored just seconds before the half, giving Clemson a 26-20 lead. While in the locker room, it was announced that Matt Dayes would not return for the second half.

Each team came out of the half and scored pretty quickly. Clemson scored again, and again, and again. The NC State defense fell apart in the second half, and could never slow down Clemson’s offense enough. The absence of Dayes really hurt as the Wolfpack’s running game fell flat. Clemson’s offense exploded for 30 points in the second half, while NC State was left with just 21.



Wolfpack fans complaining about this loss need to take a step back. Clemson is one of about a dozen teams still undefeated and for good reason. They are a solid team and have a very legitimate shot at a national title. The fact that NC State hung 41 points on them is a big deal and shouldn’t go unnoticed, especially since Miami was shut out a week ago.


The defense was unimpressive, which is interesting because they’ve been a strong point all season. Again, I’m willing to attribute some of this to Clemson being one of the best offenses in the nation. Still, some of these two play drives looked really bad. Hopefully the defense can turn it around next week when they go to one of the ACC’s worst offenses, Boston College


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It was a good effort and perhaps with Matt Dayes playing the whole game, this would be a different story. Either way, you can’t be mad about this loss, but you can’t be very happy about it either.

Wolfpack Get Up Early, Fight Off Deacons

After a few depressing weeks, NC State desperately needed a win. The only problem was that they were playing Wake Forest on the road. For some inexplicable reason, the Wolfpack had not won in Winston-Salem since 2001, back when now NFL veteran Phillip Rivers was under center.


It had been a while since NC State had beaten Wake on the road, but thankfully, that changed on Saturday.

Game Recap

I don’t think this game could have started any better. On just the third play from scrimmage, Brissett found Maurice Trowell through the air for a 60 yard touchdown. Wake Forest then went 3 and out, and Matt Dayes ran 85 yards to score on the first play of the drive. Later in the first quarter, NC State scored on another 1 play drive when Brissett passed 58 yards to Nyheim Hines. Finally, Matt Dayes added on another score with a run in the closing seconds of the first to make it 28-0 Wolfpack.


Apparently, NC State thought the game was over after the first quarter. Maybe offensive coordinator Matt Canada decided to catch up on some sleep, or perhaps Jacoby Brissett wanted to save his arm for next week. All joking aside, NC State pretty much parked the bus in the next three quarters. The defense held strong for the most part, but did concede 17 points.


With about five minutes left in the fourth quarter, NC State scored for the first time since the first quarter. It wasn’t the offense though. Brandon Cherry took a punt 52 yards back to the end zone. Wake managed to score once more after this, but NC State took home the victory 35-17.



The first quarter was reminiscent of the “pre-season.” NC State got ahead early and never looked back. Brissett and Dayes both eclipsed 200 yards in passing and rushing respectively.Trowell

Only Wake’s quarterback, Kendall Hinton, posted more than 100 yards of offense. The defense played well when you consider how much they were on the field. It’s just tough to tell which NC State team was the real team. This week’s showdown with Clemson will hopefully tell us which team to expect down the stretch.

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I mean yeah, they won. But it was against Wake, who is a power 5 team, but not a good one. The score was similar to UNC/Wake, but they didn’t play that well after the first quarter. I’m just so confused!

Cardinals Escape Wolfpack in Disappointing Contest

To the outsider, Saturday’s Louisville/NC State matchup may have looked like an easy pick. The 4-0 Wolfpack against the struggling 1-3 Cardinals? Of course the undefeated team should win. But if you’ve watched anything from either of these teams, you know that’s hardly the end of the story. Louisville has 2 “quality losses” along with a weird one against Houston, but they’re better than their record indicates. On the other side, NC State may be the most untested team in the nation with wins over 4 teams you probably haven’t heard of. Hopefully you’ve read Pharmacard’s recap because things are different from the NC State side.

Game Recap

After a defense stalemate took up much of the first quarter, NC State appeared to have broken loose. Jumichael Ramos caught a pass and was almost in the end zone before he fumbled. To make matters worse, Louisville made them pay for the turnover as Lamar Jackson broke loose for a 68 yard touchdown run. That was ok, not the start they wanted, but most NC State fans figured the team could recover from this.


As the second quarter started, NC State faced a fourth and 10 from the Louisville 33 and inexplicably decided to punt. I’m not going to get into the details, but there’s rarely a good reason to punt from the opposite side of the 50. To his credit, punter AJ Cole did great work to pin the Cardinals inside their own 10. Of course, as fate would have it, Louisville drove the field and scored to take a 14-0 lead.


With their backs against the walls, NC State started the drive needing a score. Nyheim Hines did his part and ran the kickoff back to the 5. Instead of doing what’s worked all year (Matt Dayes), the Wolfpack thought it was time to get fancy with an incomplete pass and a QB draw. They finally called timeout and found their common sense. Dayes got the ball on the next play and ran it in for the score. They went into the locker room trailing 17-7.


Things started looking up in the second half as NC State figured out they could run the ball and wound up in the red zone again. A short pass to Samuels and they trailed by only a field goal…except not because the extra point was missed (#collegekickers). Both teams went back and fourth for the rest of the game, but Louisville’s field goal with 15s left sealed the deal for a 20-13 win.


Simply put, this was not the same team State fans have been watching the last month. It isn’t just that they are playing against tougher competition, but the entire gameplan seems to have changed. NC State found great success against South Alabama running the ball and the success continued into the Louisville game. Yet NC State running backs only got 20 carries in the entire game. Most fans could agree that they should have made the Cardinals stop the running game before abandoning it.


Overall, I’m not as upset at the defense. There were a few plays where they covered everyone except the QB and that’s ok, dual threat quarterbacks will do that to you. Jackson compiled 224 of Louisville’s 306 total yards. That would have been ok for most games, but the offense just never responded. In short, there’s still work to do on both sides of the ball.


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Yep, it’s gonna be another one of those years. NC State is going to win a few games in a row to instill hope in the fanbase, but then let us all down with bad losses like this one. Oh well, at least we’re used to it.

Wolfpack Sprint Past South Alabama

No one really thought South Alabama would challenge NC State, but this game just wasn’t fair. The Wolfpack finished with 586 yards of total offense and were really never contested. This is going to be a quick recap because this was completely one sided.

Game Recap

The game started pretty quick as the Jags drove the field and scored in just six plays. As they scored, State fans said in unison “here we go again” (probably, right?). That was ok because that would be the only touchdown the defense allowed all night. The Wolfpack also helped State fans’ stress levels by scoring in just three plays.Cherry After giving up the initial score, they would go on to score 28 unanswered in the FIRST QUARTER. In the second, USA finally put up a field goal, but NC State dropped 21 more points on them before the half was over. The second half was irrelevant since most of State’s backups were in and still managed to outscore South Alabama 21-3. When it was all over, NC State picked up their 4th win of the year by a score of 63-13.



While I’m not a huge fan of the team’s schedule, being 2/3’s of the way to a bowl game is quite encouraging especially with the way the conference looks this year. In terms of the game, I think State looks like they can be competitive in the ACC this year. As I’ve said in this column for the last three weeks, this team looks really good even when you take into account who they are playing

If you take a look at the drive summary, you can see that NC State scored touchdowns in all of their first five drives. That’s not a team that’s just squeaking by, that’s total domination. I don’t think they’ll do this every week, but I do think it shows that this team is talented. Three different running backs had at least two touchdowns. That kind of depth bodes well for a team going through conference. Matt Days and Shadrach Thornton both rushed for more than 100 yards and Jacoby Brissett threw for over 200 with 2 TD’s.


Just like everyone else, I’m excited to see how the team looks this weekend against Louisville. Both teams have something to prove and similarly, this game will tell us a lot about both teams.

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ACC play is getting started and NC State is 4-0. They’re playing a Louisville team that has had three tough games so far and just got their first win last week. I’m ready, let’s go!

Overthrowing the Monarchs

Another week came and went, but unless you’re a hardcore NC State fan, you likely didn’t watch the Wolfpack completely overpower the Old Dominion Monarchs on Saturday night. It’s ok, I watched it for you. Here’s what happened:

Game Recap

It was almost surreal how easily they drove the field. On their first possession, a combination of short passes and runs allowed NC State to pound out a 15 play, 73 yard drive that ended in a Jaylen Samuels touchdown.

Later, the defense again succumbed to the “one big play” offense. A long 70 yard pass play put ODU on the board and tied the game at 7

But that was ok, Jacoby Brissett took over on the next drive. He threw a couple of long passes, scrambled out of the pocket and ran it in for a score. A few drives later, Brissett found Samuels through the air for another score. NC State went into the half with a comfortable 21-7 lead.

North Carolina State's Maurice Trowell (87) celebrates with Jaylen Samuels (28) after Samuels scored on a 3-yard touchdown run during the first half against Old Dominion at S.B. Ballard Stadium in Norfolk, Va., on Saturday Sept. 19, 2015. N.C. State won, 38-14. (Ethan Hyman/Raleigh News & Observer/TNS)

The offense got a little lazy in the third quarter, but thankfully the defense continued to play well. In the third quarter, Brandon Cherry returned a punt to the ODU 20. Matt Dayes found his way into the end zone a few plays later.

The rest of the game was pretty much irrelevant. The only notable happening was the return of RB Shadrach Thornton. Previously kicked off the team for a violation of rules, he was reinstated this week and scored a touchdown in garbage time on Saturday. His touchdown with 1:33 left in the game made the final score 38-14.


This was supposed to be the trap game. On the road, a primetime game, and the ODU team on the rise; NC State usually struggles in this type of game. For a team that usually plays down to their competition, this game was refreshing. The Wolfpack got ahead early and were never challenged.

Brissett had his lowest passing yardage of the season, but I’d like to think it’s because he didn’t need to. Much of the second half was just simple rushing plays to run the clock. He also hit his season high for rushing yards. Mostly thanks to his 21 yard TD run, Brissett was much more successful scrambling in this game.

North Carolina State quarterback Jacoby Brissett (12) passes under pressure from Old Dominion defensive end Poncho Barnwell (95) during the second half at S.B. Ballard Stadium in Norfolk, Va., on Saturday Sept. 19, 2015. N.C. State won, 38-14. (Ethan Hyman/Raleigh News & Observer/TNS)

Just like in the Troy game, one play made up most of Old Dominion’s offense. With the exception of that play, the defense kept the Monarchs quiet all night. Of course, we’d all love to do without the one play, but if that’s what it takes, I think most of the fans would be ok with that.

Finally, the return of Shadrach was also a bright spot. While Matt Dayes runs with a more elusive style, Thornton is definitely a power running back. Having both really completes the backfield, especially with Samuels as the “fullback.”

North Carolina State running back Matthew Dayes (21) breaks free from Old Dominion cornerback Aaron Young (27) during the first half at S.B. Ballard Stadium in Norfolk, Va., on Saturday Sept. 19, 2015. (Ethan Hyman/Raleigh News & Observer/TNS)

GIF Reaction


Oh no, this isn’t good. I’m starting to believe. I can’t believe I’m saying this, but NC State is starting to look really good. I’m not crazy, but this looks like a different NC State team. They aren’t allowing these lesser teams to stick around and make games close. I know, I know. They’re going to let me down. Just let me believe for a second ok?

Wolfpack Blank Colonels

NC State continued to NOT make headlines this week as they took care of business at home against Eastern Kentucky. Though they are a ranked team in the FCS, the Wolfpack should not and did not have much trouble with the Colonels. Oh and they also wore those nifty black alternates.

Game Recap

Ok, so NC State had a little bit of trouble with EKU. In the first drive of the game, it looked like maybe the Colonels could hang around. After barely converting on 3rd and 20, the Wolfpack made it down to the goal line. Then, the wheels fell off. Matt Dayes was stopped for no gain and Brissett could only get back to the line. Facing a 3rd and goal from the 5 after a false start, Brissett failed to avoid the pass rush and was sacked. So the Wolfpack settled for a field goal…except no, the kick was blocked. The entire NC State fanbase groaned in unison and prepared for a long game.


So close…

The defense forced a 3 and out, but the offense continued to disappoint. Dakwa Nichols fumbled as he got to midfield as Eastern Kentucky caught yet another break. At the end of the first quarter, the game was inexplicably tied at 0. Things got better though. NC State started the quarter in EKU territory and Brissett took over. He eventually found Benson Browne in the end zone to put the Wolfpack on the board.


Finally, a score!

On the next drive, Brissett and Dayes alternated plays to march the team all the way down to the goal line where Jaylen Samuels ran it in for the score.

North Carolina State Jaylen Samuels (28) looks for running room after beating out Eastern Kentucky defensive back Tyrell Curry (31) during the second half at Carter-Finley Stadium in Raleigh, N.C., on Saturday, Sept. 12, 2015. The host Wolfpack won, 35-0. (Ethan Hyman/Raleigh News & Observer/TNS)

Samuels runs over the EKU defense

NC State would take their 14-0 lead into the half. They picked up where they left off to open the half. Samuels caught a pass and brought State to the red zone. Matt Dayes then ran for 25 yards and his first of three TDs.

North Carolina State running back Matthew Dayes (21) breaks free from Eastern Kentucky defensive back Kobie Grace (38) during the first half at Carter-Finley Stadium in Raleigh, N.C., on Saturday, Sept. 12, 2015. (Ethan Hyman/Raleigh News & Observer/TNS)

Matt Dayes does the same

The rest of the game went mostly to plan. Dayes and Brissett continued to tear up the EKU defense and on the other side, the Wolfpack defense ended up shutting out the Colonels for a 35-0 victory.


Of course it was against an FCS team, but the combination of Jacoby Brissett and Matt Dayes looked unstoppable again this week. Troy couldn’t handle them, and Eastern Kentucky had no answer for the two. Both did what they wanted basically the whole game. Going forward, it’s nice to know what they are capable of. There’s a lot to be excited about on offense if they can continue this play into the conference schedule.

North Carolina State quarterback Jacoby Brissett (12) passes during the first half against Eastern Kentucky at Carter-Finley Stadium in Raleigh, N.C., on Saturday, Sept. 12, 2015. (Ethan Hyman/Raleigh News & Observer/TNS)

Jacoby Brissett airs it out

The defense looked better this week. With the exception of a few early drives, they kept the Colonels out of the red zone the entire game. Hopefully this is the real NC State defense. The version of this defense we saw last week was largely ineffective against a sub-par Troy offense. At times, they even carried the team notably in the first quarter when the offense was stagnant. They looked much better this week and hopefully that kind of play is here to stay, but it’s too soon to tell.


Defense celebrating another stop

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It’s hard to get excited yet because of the weak schedule, but it’s hard to complain when you’re 2-0. Offense looks good, defense looks adequate, way to go NC State. Let’s keep these games one-sided.

Not Too Shabby

Let’s be honest, with the way NC State’s non conference schedule looks this season, we shouldn’t be talking about a loss until at least week 5. Of course, as we saw in many other games around college football, these early season games are anything but guaranteed. Thankfully, NC State wasn’t one of the victims.

Game Recap

State won the toss and gave the ball to Troy. They forced a quick 3 and out in their first defensive series, which allowed Jaylen Samuels to take a reverse, and run untouched to the end zone. 7-0 Wolfpack and fans are starting to feel confident.

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Strong Start for Samuels

In typical NC State fashion, that confidence was short-lived. Troy marched 75 yards down the field and tied the game in two minutes. When NC State did the same, this had all the makings of a shootout. Thankfully, the defense woke back up, made a few stops, and offense scored 21 unanswered points to take a 28-7 lead with just 28 seconds left in the half.

So NC State took a 28-7 lead into the half? No, of course not, that’d be too easy. Brandon Silvers threw two long passes and Troy scored a touchdown in 27 seconds. Yes, the Trojans drove 82 yards in 27 seconds.

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The Wolfpack took over in the second half as Matt Dayes started breaking off big runs in the third quarter. The defense stepped up and really shut down the Trojans offense. They put more pressure on Silvers and sacked him twice, something they didn’t do the entire first half.

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All About Matt Dayes

Troy did their best to stay in the game, but big play after big play just seems to kill their spirit. The knockout punch, pun intended, was delivered by Dravious Wright

Though it was only the third quarter, this really decided the game. A few plays later, NC State scored again to take a three-score lead and basically put the game on ice.


Yes, this was only the first game. Yes, it was against Troy. But NC State fans shouldn’t be ashamed by their excitement right now. I’m not talking ACC title or anything crazy, but there were several bright spots in this first game. We knew from last year that Jacoby Brissett was good, but he continues to live up to the hype. He completed 21 of 23 passes for almost 200 yards. All this, and he was pulled with 12 minutes left in the game.

With the suspension of Shadrach Thornton, many were concerned about the Wolfpack running game. It’s safe to say that Matt Dayes quieted those concerns. He got 24 touches for 124 yards, scored twice, and didn’t even get a touch in the fourth quarter.Generated by IJG JPEG Library

The defense was…well…dissatisfying. Allowing 305 yards and 21 points to a team in the Sun Belt probably wasn’t the plan for the NC State defense. Granted, they made some changes, and played much better as the game went on. It will certainly be something to watch in the next few games.

GIF Reaction


Nothing earth-shattering, but not much to complain about. Solid week. Keep it up Wolfpack!

The Football Over-Unders for 2015: NC State

This article is another in a series of articles in which the Confidential opines regarding the over/under for football wins in 2015.  We’ll take a cursory look at the schedule and determine what we think is the point where folks will struggle to select “over” or “under.”  We hope people will share their comments as to “why” they are going over/under.  If you disagree with our over/under choice, of course, feel free to let us know too.  The next team up: North Carolina State.  We are going with an over/under of 7.5 regular season wins.

  1. September 5 vs Troy
  2. September 12 vs Eastern Kentucky
  3. September 19 @ Old Dominion
  4. September 26 @ South Alabama
  5. October 3 vs Louisville
  6. October 9 @ Virginia Tech
  7. October 24 @ Wake Forest
  8. October 31  vs Clemson
  9. November 7 @ Boston College
  10. November 14 @ Florida State
  11. November 21 vs Syracuse
  12. November 28 vs North Carolina

Likely losses: Louisville, Clemson, Florida State

Likely wins: September’s slate.

Summary:  North Carolina State is scheduling itself for 4-0 in out-of-conference play–that much is clear.  The only difficulty here is that two of the games are road games.  No P5 games outside of conference is shameful.  But smart, as NC State only has to win 2 conference games (Syracuse and Wake Forest) to get to a bowl.  And its not like NC State cannot beat Virginia Tech, Boston College or North Carolina also.  Even if we might not be impressed with 6 wins, 9 wins is not out of the question.  Ultimately, however, the Confidential goes with an over-under of 7.5 wins.

What do you think?  Over or under?  Let us know.

Prior discussions: Florida State Georgia Tech Wake Forest Pitt Virginia Virginia Tech Louisville Miami Notre Dame

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