The Confidential’s 2016 Football Over-Under: North Carolina State
Last year, the Confidential unveiled over-unders for each ACC school. For North Carolina State, the over-under was set at 7.5 regular season wins. Ultimately, NC State ended up with 7 regular season wins, bolstered by four easy out-of-conference games scheduled. But now it is on to 2016. The Confidential sets the over-under for NC State at 5.5 regular season wins.
Here is the schedule for 2016, courtesy of a great football site:
9/1 | Thu | vs. | William & Mary | |||
9/10 | Sat | @ | East Carolina | |||
9/17 | Sat | vs. | Old Dominion | |||
10/1 | Sat | vs. | *Wake Forest | |||
10/8 | Sat | vs. | Notre Dame | |||
10/15 | Sat | @ | *Clemson | |||
10/22 | Sat | @ | *Louisville | |||
10/29 | Sat | vs. | *Boston College | |||
11/5 | Sat | vs. | *Florida State | |||
11/12 | Sat | @ | *Syracuse | |||
11/19 | Sat | vs. | *Miami (Florida) | |||
11/25 | Fri | @ | *North Carolina |
Very likely wins: William & Mary, Old Dominion, one of Boston College or Wake Forest
Very likely losses: Notre Dame, @ Clemson, Florida State
Verdict: Last year’s out-of-conference schedule for North Carolina State was pathetically easy. This year, there is a slight uptick. Of course, with the forced game against Notre Dame, it was the ACC, rather than the school, making the change. At the same time, East Carolina will be a self-inflicted challenge. Ask Virginia Tech. So this is a definite increase in scheduling difficulty. Within the conference, the Wolfpack have it very tough also, with road trips to North Carolina, Syracuse, and Louisville within the toss-up games. With only six toss-ups, and three very likely losses, it is not hard to see NC State taking a step back from its 7 win season. In fact, this much tougher schedule could mean a few steps back, including potentially missing a bowl. The Confidential goes with an over-under at that mark–5.5 wins.
What do you think? Will NC State go over or under 5.5 regular season wins?