The Confidential

Pitt Football: The Over/Under

This article is the next in a series of articles in which the Confidential selects the over/under for football wins in 2014.  We’ll take a cursory look at the schedule and determine what we think is the point where folks will struggle to select “over” or “under.”  We hope people will share their comments as to “why” they are going over/under.  If you disagree with our over/under choice, of course, feel free to let us know too.  The eleventh team up: Pitt.  We are going with an over/under of 8.5.

Here is the Pitt schedule:

08/30/14	vs. Delaware	Pittsburgh, Pa.	12:00 p.m. ET
09/05/14	at Boston College	Chestnut Hill, Mass.	7:00 p.m. ET
09/13/14	at Florida International	Miami, Fla.	TBA
09/20/14	vs. Iowa	Pittsburgh, Pa.	TBA
09/27/14	vs. Akron	Pittsburgh, Pa.	TBA
10/04/14	at Virginia	Charlottesville, Va.	TBA
10/16/14	vs. Virginia Tech	Pittsburgh, Pa.	7:30 p.m. ET
10/25/14	vs. Georgia Tech	Pittsburgh, Pa.	TBA
11/01/14	vs. Duke	Pittsburgh, Pa.	TBA
11/15/14	at North Carolina	Chapel Hill, N.C.	TBA
11/22/14	vs. Syracuse	Pittsburgh, Pa.	TBA
11/29/14	at Miami	Miami, Fla.	TBA

Likely losses: @ Miami

Likely wins: Delaware, Florida Int’l, Akron

Toss-ups: @ BC, Iowa, @ Virginia, Virginia Tech, Georgia Tech, Duke, @ NC, Syracuse

This is what happens when the divisions are not balanced.  Pitt does not play Florida State, Clemson, or Louisville, or even Notre Dame.  The games against Virginia Tech and Georgia Tech are at home.  Miami is the toughest game.  The OOC schedule is weak, “anchored” by Iowa.  Even though Pitt will be breaking in a new quarterback, it is hard to see them not winning 8 games.  The over/under is 8.5 for Pitt.

What do you think?  Let us know on here or on Twitter @ acconfi.

Other over/unders: Wake Forest (4.5), Virginia (4.5), Notre Dame (8.5), Miami (7.5), NC State (5.5), North Carolina (6.5), Boston College (5.5), Virginia Tech (8.5), Duke (8.5), Georgia Tech (7.5), Pittsburgh (8.5), Louisville (TBA), Syracuse (TBA), Clemson (TBA), and Florida State (TBA)