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This article is the first in a series of articles in which the Confidential opines regarding the over/under for football wins in 2015. We’ll take a cursory look at the schedule and determine what we think is the point where folks will struggle to select “over” or “under.” We hope people will share their comments as to “why” they are going over/under. If you disagree with our over/under choice, of course, feel free to let us know too. The first team up: Florida State. We are going with an over/under of 10.5 regular season wins.
Summary: Florida State is hard this year. This team could go 12-0 and nobody would be shocked. However, after losing Winston and a second-straight set of studs to the NFL, the Seminoles are bound to take a step back. Whether that is a step back to 11 wins or 8 wins is anybody’s guess. Look, Wake Forest upset them a few years back. Boston College has played them tough recently. Syracuse and North Carolina State hung on for way too long last year. With road games at Clemson, Georgia Tech, and Florida–as well as tough home games against Miami and Louisville, the Confidential sees one or two losses. And if that is a rebuilding year, then Jimbo Fisher is doing a great job in Tallahassee. The Confidential goes with an over/under of 10.5 for the Seminoles.
What do you think? Over or under? Let us know.
As we set forth to do our over-unders for 2015, here is a look at last year’s over/unders:
As you can see, we were within 1/2 a game of the following six schools: Florida State (12 regular season wins vs. over/under of 11.5); Virginia (5 wins vs 4.5); Clemson (9 wins vs. 9.5); North Carolina (6 wins vs. 6.5); Louisville (9 wins vs. 8.5); Duke (9 wins vs. 8.5);
We were slightly off on these five schools: North Carolina State (7 wins vs. 5.5); Miami (6 wins vs. 7.5); Wake Forest (3 wins vs. 4.5); Boston College (7 wins vs. 5.5); Notre Dame (7 wins vs 8.5);
We were way off on on these four schools: Georgia Tech (10 wins vs. 7.5); Virginia Tech (6 wins vs 8.5); Pitt (6 wins vs 8.5); Syracuse 3 wins vs 7.5).
What’s the over/under on how many schools we can come within 1/2 a win of this year? Ha ha ha. Just kidding. Stay tuned for our 2015 over/unders…coming soon!
With the likely elimination of the strict championship game rules, the table is set for the ACC to go way out of its way to make football more competitive. In fact, one option is to go to three divisions. From there, the two best teams could play for the ACC Championship. The Confidential loves this idea. First, it paves the way for ND football to be more intertwined with ACC football. Second, it increases the likelihood that the two best ACC teams play for the right to move on to the playoffs. Here are the Confidential’s other thoughts…
The rumors are that Paul Chryst of Pittsburgh will head back to Madison to coach the Wisconsin Badgers. The deal cannot be sealed until mid-week, next week, as there are specific hiring protocols for the University of Wisconsin. Still, there is no reason why Chryst would not go back to Wisconsin to coach at his alma mater and where he was offensive coordinator for several seasons. The question is… what will Pitt do if/when he bolts?
A team that required divine intervention to eke out a win, barely beat an FCS team, and required overtime to win its first game. A team that ended the season on a five-game losing streak. A team with questions surround its offensive coordinator. A once-popular head coach with a sub .500 winning percentage. A bowl season followed up by disappointment. A terrible season.
No, this is not about the 2014 Syracuse Orange football team. This is about the 2011 Syracuse Orange football team. Consider…
With only the ACC Championship Game remaining, the Confidential correspondents had no trouble listing Florida State #1 and #2. Actually, the only unanimous selections were FSU @ #1 and BC @ #6. In any event, here is how the correspondents view the top 10 in the ACC:
It is now the end of November. The regular season is down to its final week. The Conference Championship Game is set–all that is left is for some rivalry games. Here is how the correspondents view the top 10 in the ACC:
It is now mid-November. The season is down to its final weeks. The Atlantic is clear, the Coastal is essentially down to two teams. Here is how the correspondents view the top 10 in the ACC:
It is now November. The season is down to its final month of regular season games. The ACC has identified a few teams that are weak (Wake Forest and Syracuse), and several that are mediocre (Virginia, Virginia Tech, Pitt, North Carolina, BC, and perhaps North Carolina State). Still, that leaves eight teams that are something more than mediocre and let’s see how they stand in the correspondents poll.
The Confidential 